Stock Analysis

WhiteHawk (ASX:WHK) Is In A Strong Position To Grow Its Business

ASX:WHK
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There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. By way of example, WhiteHawk (ASX:WHK) has seen its share price rise 765% over the last year, delighting many shareholders. But while the successes are well known, investors should not ignore the very many unprofitable companies that simply burn through all their cash and collapse.

In light of its strong share price run, we think now is a good time to investigate how risky WhiteHawk's cash burn is. For the purpose of this article, we'll define cash burn as the amount of cash the company is spending each year to fund its growth (also called its negative free cash flow). First, we'll determine its cash runway by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves.

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When Might WhiteHawk Run Out Of Money?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. As at December 2020, WhiteHawk had cash of US$3.5m and no debt. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through US$1.1m. That means it had a cash runway of about 3.1 years as of December 2020. There's no doubt that this is a reassuringly long runway. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:WHK Debt to Equity History March 17th 2021

How Is WhiteHawk's Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

In our view, WhiteHawk doesn't yet produce significant amounts of operating revenue, since it reported just US$1.9m in the last twelve months. As a result, we think it's a bit early to focus on the revenue growth, so we'll limit ourselves to looking at how the cash burn is changing over time. Even though it doesn't get us excited, the 42% reduction in cash burn year on year does suggest the company can continue operating for quite some time. Of course, we've only taken a quick look at the stock's growth metrics, here. You can take a look at how WhiteHawk is growing revenue over time by checking this visualization of past revenue growth.

How Easily Can WhiteHawk Raise Cash?

While WhiteHawk is showing a solid reduction in its cash burn, it's still worth considering how easily it could raise more cash, even just to fuel faster growth. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).

WhiteHawk's cash burn of US$1.1m is about 2.1% of its US$53m market capitalisation. That means it could easily issue a few shares to fund more growth, and might well be in a position to borrow cheaply.

So, Should We Worry About WhiteHawk's Cash Burn?

It may already be apparent to you that we're relatively comfortable with the way WhiteHawk is burning through its cash. In particular, we think its cash runway stands out as evidence that the company is well on top of its spending. Its cash burn reduction wasn't quite as good, but was still rather encouraging! Looking at all the measures in this article, together, we're not worried about its rate of cash burn, which seems to be under control. Separately, we looked at different risks affecting the company and spotted 5 warning signs for WhiteHawk (of which 1 is potentially serious!) you should know about.

If you would prefer to check out another company with better fundamentals, then do not miss this free list of interesting companies, that have HIGH return on equity and low debt or this list of stocks which are all forecast to grow.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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