Universal Store Holdings Limited

ASX:UNI Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$418.1m

Universal Store Holdings Valuation

Is UNI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of UNI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: UNI (A$5.34) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$15.34)

Significantly Below Fair Value: UNI is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for UNI?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

UNI key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA9.6x
PEG Ratio1.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does UNI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for UNI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25.9x
STP Step One Clothing
23.4x10.6%AU$240.6m
AX1 Accent Group
13.9x11.9%AU$1.0b
CTT Cettire
49x29.9%AU$1.1b
PMV Premier Investments
17.4x3.5%AU$4.7b
UNI Universal Store Holdings
15.4x9.8%AU$418.1m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: UNI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.4x) compared to the peer average (25.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does UNI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Specialty Retail Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: UNI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.4x) compared to the Australian Specialty Retail industry average (14x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is UNI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

UNI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.4x
Fair PE Ratio16x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: UNI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst UNI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$5.34
AU$5.64
+5.6%
11.2%AU$6.50AU$4.50n/a12
May ’25AU$5.61
AU$5.60
-0.2%
10.9%AU$6.50AU$4.50n/a12
Apr ’25AU$5.35
AU$5.38
+0.5%
8.8%AU$6.11AU$4.50n/a11
Mar ’25AU$4.57
AU$5.42
+18.5%
8.8%AU$6.11AU$4.50n/a10
Feb ’25AU$4.16
AU$4.71
+13.3%
13.0%AU$5.68AU$3.90n/a10
Jan ’25AU$4.25
AU$4.57
+7.6%
15.1%AU$5.68AU$3.40n/a11
Dec ’24AU$3.53
AU$4.55
+28.8%
15.3%AU$5.68AU$3.40n/a11
Nov ’24AU$3.33
AU$4.40
+32.0%
18.2%AU$5.60AU$3.00n/a10
Oct ’24AU$3.46
AU$4.53
+30.9%
15.1%AU$5.70AU$3.70n/a9
Sep ’24AU$3.82
AU$4.42
+15.8%
17.8%AU$5.70AU$3.30n/a9
Aug ’24AU$3.66
AU$4.12
+12.5%
18.5%AU$5.40AU$3.00n/a9
Jul ’24AU$2.98
AU$4.12
+38.1%
18.5%AU$5.40AU$3.00n/a9
Jun ’24AU$2.95
AU$4.57
+54.9%
21.9%AU$6.70AU$3.00n/a10
May ’24AU$4.70
AU$6.78
+44.1%
11.5%AU$8.30AU$5.40AU$5.6110
Apr ’24AU$5.09
AU$6.73
+32.3%
13.6%AU$8.30AU$5.40AU$5.3510
Mar ’24AU$5.59
AU$6.75
+20.7%
13.6%AU$8.30AU$5.40AU$4.5710
Feb ’24AU$5.71
AU$6.43
+12.6%
14.1%AU$8.00AU$5.00AU$4.1610
Jan ’24AU$5.18
AU$6.40
+23.6%
13.7%AU$8.00AU$5.00AU$4.2510
Dec ’23AU$5.30
AU$6.40
+20.8%
13.7%AU$8.00AU$5.00AU$3.5310
Nov ’23AU$5.25
AU$6.20
+18.1%
16.0%AU$8.00AU$4.55AU$3.339
Oct ’23AU$4.69
AU$6.36
+35.7%
13.4%AU$8.00AU$4.90AU$3.469
Sep ’23AU$4.80
AU$5.96
+24.2%
18.1%AU$7.30AU$3.60AU$3.828
Aug ’23AU$4.82
AU$5.46
+13.3%
20.6%AU$7.30AU$3.50AU$3.668
Jul ’23AU$4.07
AU$5.60
+37.6%
24.7%AU$8.40AU$3.50AU$2.988
Jun ’23AU$4.44
AU$8.11
+82.7%
14.3%AU$9.40AU$5.83AU$2.958
May ’23AU$5.19
AU$8.44
+62.5%
9.9%AU$9.40AU$6.80AU$4.707

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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