Stock Analysis

Joyce's (ASX:JYC) Dividend Will Be A$0.11

ASX:JYC
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Joyce Corporation Ltd (ASX:JYC) will pay a dividend of A$0.11 on the 5th of April. This will take the dividend yield to an attractive 7.3%, providing a nice boost to shareholder returns.

Check out our latest analysis for Joyce

Joyce's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. The last payment made up 89% of earnings, but cash flows were much higher. This leaves plenty of cash for reinvestment into the business.

Earnings per share could rise by 19.2% over the next year if things go the same way as they have for the last few years. If recent patterns in the dividend continue, the payout ratio in 12 months could be 88% which is a bit high but can definitely be sustainable.

historic-dividend
ASX:JYC Historic Dividend February 29th 2024

Dividend Volatility

While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2014, the dividend has gone from A$0.03 total annually to A$0.255. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 24% over that duration. Joyce has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, so we would be cautious about buying this stock solely for the dividend income.

Joyce Might Find It Hard To Grow Its Dividend

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. We are encouraged to see that Joyce has grown earnings per share at 19% per year over the past five years. Past earnings growth has been decent, but unless this is one of those rare businesses that can grow without additional capital investment or marketing spend, we'd generally expect the higher payout ratio to limit its future growth prospects.

Our Thoughts On Joyce's Dividend

Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For example, we've picked out 2 warning signs for Joyce that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. Is Joyce not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.