Waypoint REIT Valuation

Is WPR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of WPR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: WPR (A$2.47) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$3.48)

Significantly Below Fair Value: WPR is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for WPR?

Key metric: As WPR is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for WPR. This is calculated by dividing WPR's market cap by their current revenue.
What is WPR's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio7.2x
SalesAU$231.50m
Market CapAU$1.66b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does WPR's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for WPR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.8x
BWP BWP Trust
13.9x5.8%AU$2.4b
RGN Region Group
6.7x5.3%AU$2.5b
CQR Charter Hall Retail REIT
6.8x-2.5%AU$1.9b
HDN HomeCo Daily Needs REIT
7.7x-0.2%AU$2.5b
WPR Waypoint REIT
7.2x-6.1%AU$1.7b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: WPR is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.2x) compared to the peer average (8.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does WPR's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Retail REITs Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
WPR 7.2xIndustry Avg. 6.1xNo. of Companies17PS03.26.49.612.816+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: WPR is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.2x) compared to the Global Retail REITs industry average (6.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is WPR's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

WPR PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio7.2x
Fair PS Ratio12.6x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: WPR is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (12.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst WPR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$2.47
AU$2.71
+9.6%
4.1%AU$2.85AU$2.50n/a9
Nov ’25AU$2.48
AU$2.71
+9.2%
4.1%AU$2.85AU$2.50n/a9
Oct ’25AU$2.63
AU$2.64
+0.4%
6.5%AU$2.85AU$2.34n/a10
Sep ’25AU$2.59
AU$2.62
+1.5%
6.7%AU$2.85AU$2.34n/a10
Aug ’25AU$2.55
AU$2.59
+1.4%
7.0%AU$2.85AU$2.34n/a9
Jul ’25AU$2.24
AU$2.58
+15.1%
6.7%AU$2.85AU$2.34n/a10
Jun ’25AU$2.38
AU$2.58
+8.4%
6.7%AU$2.85AU$2.34n/a10
May ’25AU$2.33
AU$2.60
+11.5%
6.1%AU$2.85AU$2.34n/a10
Apr ’25AU$2.54
AU$2.59
+2.0%
6.2%AU$2.85AU$2.34n/a10
Mar ’25AU$2.33
AU$2.62
+12.4%
5.5%AU$2.85AU$2.45n/a9
Feb ’25AU$2.44
AU$2.66
+8.9%
6.0%AU$2.85AU$2.35n/a9
Jan ’25AU$2.44
AU$2.64
+8.3%
6.7%AU$2.85AU$2.35n/a9
Dec ’24AU$2.36
AU$2.64
+11.9%
6.7%AU$2.85AU$2.35n/a9
Nov ’24AU$2.19
AU$2.71
+23.8%
5.7%AU$2.85AU$2.35AU$2.489
Oct ’24AU$2.31
AU$2.76
+19.3%
3.3%AU$2.85AU$2.59AU$2.639
Sep ’24AU$2.51
AU$2.76
+9.8%
3.3%AU$2.85AU$2.59AU$2.599
Aug ’24AU$2.62
AU$2.79
+6.5%
3.2%AU$2.90AU$2.60AU$2.559
Jul ’24AU$2.60
AU$2.84
+9.1%
4.4%AU$3.00AU$2.60AU$2.249
Jun ’24AU$2.71
AU$2.88
+6.1%
4.3%AU$3.00AU$2.60AU$2.388
May ’24AU$2.62
AU$2.88
+10.0%
4.3%AU$3.00AU$2.60AU$2.338
Apr ’24AU$2.58
AU$2.83
+10.0%
5.3%AU$3.00AU$2.58AU$2.549
Mar ’24AU$2.72
AU$2.84
+4.5%
5.6%AU$3.00AU$2.58AU$2.338
Feb ’24AU$2.83
AU$2.82
-0.3%
8.6%AU$3.05AU$2.35AU$2.448
Jan ’24AU$2.77
AU$2.86
+3.5%
8.7%AU$3.10AU$2.35AU$2.448
Dec ’23AU$2.82
AU$2.86
+1.4%
8.7%AU$3.10AU$2.35AU$2.368
Nov ’23AU$2.76
AU$2.86
+3.6%
8.7%AU$3.10AU$2.35AU$2.198

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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