Mirvac Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Mirvac Group's revenue is forecast to decline at 44.9% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 42.2% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 40.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 5.9% in 3 years.

Key information

42.2%

Earnings growth rate

40.9%

EPS growth rate

REITs earnings growth	31.6%
Revenue growth rate	-44.9%
Future return on equity	5.9%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	12 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

CHIA:MGR - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
6/30/2027	979	668	-225	626	4
6/30/2026	885	572	-265	562	5
6/30/2025	873	478	-340	521	5
6/30/2024	3,035	-805	540	542	N/A
3/31/2024	2,699	-693	353	356	N/A
12/31/2023	2,362	-581	166	169	N/A
9/30/2023	2,151	-373	52	56	N/A
6/30/2023	1,940	-165	-62	-57	N/A
3/31/2023	1,933	196	106	113	N/A
12/31/2022	1,925	556	274	283	N/A
9/30/2022	2,170	731	581	589	N/A
6/30/2022	2,415	906	887	895	N/A
3/31/2022	2,313	990	745	750	N/A
12/31/2021	2,211	1,074	602	605	N/A
9/30/2021	2,064	988	616	620	N/A
6/30/2021	1,917	901	630	635	N/A
3/31/2021	1,932	619	583	587	N/A
12/31/2020	1,946	337	535	539	N/A
9/30/2020	2,097	448	491	495	N/A
6/30/2020	2,247	558	446	450	N/A
3/31/2020	2,328	771	571	578	N/A
12/31/2019	2,408	984	695	705	N/A
9/30/2019	2,332	1,002	601	612	N/A
6/30/2019	2,255	1,019	506	518	N/A
3/31/2019	2,489	1,146	671	684	N/A
12/31/2018	2,722	1,272	836	850	N/A
9/30/2018	2,512	1,181	743	757	N/A
6/30/2018	2,302	1,089	649	663	N/A
3/31/2018	2,209	1,105	N/A	624	N/A
12/31/2017	2,116	1,121	N/A	584	N/A
9/30/2017	2,269	1,143	N/A	549	N/A
6/30/2017	2,422	1,164	N/A	513	N/A
3/31/2017	2,554	1,116	N/A	579	N/A
12/31/2016	2,685	1,068	N/A	644	N/A
9/30/2016	2,561	1,051	N/A	577	N/A
6/30/2016	2,436	1,033	N/A	509	N/A
3/31/2016	1,966	919	N/A	210	N/A
12/31/2015	1,496	804	N/A	-88	N/A
9/30/2015	1,629	707	N/A	162	N/A
6/30/2015	1,763	610	N/A	413	N/A
3/31/2015	1,925	545	N/A	600	N/A
12/31/2014	2,087	480	N/A	788	N/A
9/30/2014	2,002	464	N/A	593	N/A
6/30/2014	1,918	447	N/A	399	N/A
12/31/2013	1,752	329	N/A	223	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: MGR is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: MGR is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: MGR is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: MGR's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-44.9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: MGR's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-44.9% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: MGR's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (5.9%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/25 01:39
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/24 00:00
Earnings	2024/06/30
Annual Earnings	2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Mirvac Group is covered by 24 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Russell Wright	Barclay Pearce Capital Pty Limited
Benjamin Brayshaw	Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Nicholas McGarrigle	Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited

Mirvac Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Mirvac Group Not Provides Earnings Guidance for the Full Year of 2021

Recent updates

Final dividend of AU$0.045 announced

Buyout or Equity Raising Reportedly Likely for Lifestyle Communities

Mirvac Group Appoints Rosemary Hartnett as Non-Executive Director, Effective December 2, 2024

Mirvac Group, Annual General Meeting, Nov 15, 2024

Full year 2024 earnings released: AU$0.20 loss per share (vs AU$0.042 loss in FY 2023)

Mirvac Group to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Aug 08, 2024

First half dividend of AU$0.06 announced

Keppel REIT (Australia) Sub-Trust 8 acquired 50% stake in 255 George Street, a freehold Grade A office building in Sydney, Australia from Mirvac Wholesale Office Fund I which is managed by Mirvac Group (ASX:MGR).

Keppel REIT (Australia) Sub-Trust 8 agreed to acquire 50% stake in 255 George Street, a freehold Grade A office building in Sydney, Australia from Mirvac Wholesale Office Fund I which is managed by Mirvac Group (ASX:MGR) for AUD 363.8 million.

Keppel REIT (Australia) Sub-Trust 8 agreed to acquire 50% stake in 255 George Street, a freehold Grade A office building in Sydney, Australia from Mirvac Wholesale Office Fund I which is managed by Mirvac Group (ASX:MGR) for AUD 363.8 million.

First half 2024 earnings released: AU$0.051 loss per share (vs AU$0.055 profit in 1H 2023)

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.045 per share at 5.1% yield

Mirvac Group to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Feb 08, 2024

Mirvac Group Declares Dividend for the Six Months Ending December 31, 2023, Payable on February 29, 2024

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Mirvac Group Announces Management Changes

Mirvac Group (ASX:MGR) and Pacific Equity Partners Secure Assets Fund, L.P. managed by Pacific Equity Partners and Tasman Capital Partners entered into binding agreement to acquire Serenitas Management.

Mirvac Group to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Oct 25, 2023

New major risk - Financial position

Full year 2023 earnings released: AU$0.042 loss per share (vs AU$0.23 profit in FY 2022)

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.053 per share at 4.5% yield

Mirvac Group Announces Fully Paid Distribution for the Six Months Ended June 30, 2023, Payable on August 31, 2023

Mirvac Group, Annual General Meeting, Nov 16, 2023

Independent Non-Executive Chair recently bought AU$66k worth of stock

Independent Non-Executive Director recently bought AU$73k worth of stock

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.055 (vs AU$0.14 in 1H 2022)

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.052 per share

Independent Non-Executive Director recently bought AU$91k worth of stock

Mirvac Group Declares Dividend for the Six Months Ending December 31, 2022, Payable on February 28, 2023

Mirvac Group Announces CEO Changes

Mirvac Group Announces Retirement Plan of Susan Lloyd-Hurwitz as Chief Executive Officer from June 30, 2023

Mirvac Group, Annual General Meeting, Nov 18, 2022

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.23 (vs AU$0.23 in FY 2021)

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.051 per share

Mirvac Group Announces Fully Paid Distribution for the Six Months Ended June 30, 2022, Payable on August 31, 2022

Blackstone Reportedly Looks At AMP Capital

Revelop completed the acquisition of Tramsheds in Sydney from Mirvac Group (ASX:MGR).

An unknown buyer agreed to acquire Tramsheds and Quay West Carpark in Sydney from Mirvac Group (ASX:MGR).

First half 2022 earnings: EPS in line with expectations, revenues disappoint

Mirvac Group Announces Fully Paid Distribution for the Six Months Ended December 31, 2021, Payable on February 28, 2022

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.051 per share

CEO, MD & Executive Director recently bought AU$193k worth of stock

CEO, MD & Executive Director recently sold AU$942k worth of stock

Full year 2021 earnings released: EPS AU$0.23 (vs AU$0.14 in FY 2020)

An unknown buyer agreed to acquire Cherrybrook Village in Sydney from Mirvac Group (ASX:MGR) for approximately AUD 130 million.

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.051 per share

First half 2021 earnings released: EPS AU$0.10 (vs AU$0.16 in 1H 2020)

LOGOS Reportedly Taps Moelis in Bid for Milestone Logistics

New 90-day high: AU$2.76

Mirvac Group Announces Management Changes

Mirvac Group Announces Director Resignation - Peter Hawkins

Mirvac Group Announces Changes to Operating Structure

Mirvac Group Not Provides Earnings Guidance for the Full Year of 2021

Earnings released

New 90-day low - AU$2.06

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data Sources

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Industry and Sector Metrics

Analyst Sources