Stock Analysis
As the Australian market wrapped up the Christmas week with a modest gain, the ASX 200 closed at 8,251 points, marking a third consecutive win for investors despite lighter trading volumes during the holiday period. In this environment of sector-wide gains, identifying undervalued stocks becomes crucial as investors seek opportunities that align with current market trends and economic conditions.
Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Australia
Name | Current Price | Fair Value (Est) | Discount (Est) |
Data#3 (ASX:DTL) | A$6.46 | A$12.28 | 47.4% |
Regal Partners (ASX:RPL) | A$3.64 | A$6.35 | 42.7% |
Medibank Private (ASX:MPL) | A$3.83 | A$6.38 | 39.9% |
Telix Pharmaceuticals (ASX:TLX) | A$24.95 | A$43.94 | 43.2% |
Ansell (ASX:ANN) | A$33.66 | A$60.21 | 44.1% |
Ingenia Communities Group (ASX:INA) | A$4.73 | A$9.20 | 48.6% |
Charter Hall Group (ASX:CHC) | A$15.01 | A$28.75 | 47.8% |
Millennium Services Group (ASX:MIL) | A$1.145 | A$2.24 | 48.9% |
Genesis Minerals (ASX:GMD) | A$2.55 | A$4.89 | 47.9% |
Sandfire Resources (ASX:SFR) | A$9.51 | A$16.55 | 42.6% |
Let's explore several standout options from the results in the screener.
Life360 (ASX:360)
Overview: Life360, Inc. operates a technology platform for locating people, pets, and things across North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally with a market cap of A$4.99 billion.
Operations: The company generates revenue from its Software & Programming segment, amounting to $342.92 million.
Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 22.7%
Life360 is currently trading at 22.7% below its estimated fair value of A$29.70, making it potentially undervalued based on discounted cash flow analysis. Despite recent significant insider selling and a lowered revenue forecast for 2024 due to reduced hardware sales, the company's core subscription revenue growth remains robust at over 25% year-over-year. Earnings have improved, with Q3 net income reaching US$7.69 million compared to a loss last year, highlighting progress towards profitability within three years.
- Insights from our recent growth report point to a promising forecast for Life360's business outlook.
- Unlock comprehensive insights into our analysis of Life360 stock in this financial health report.
Charter Hall Group (ASX:CHC)
Overview: Charter Hall Group is a leading Australian fully integrated property investment and funds management company with a market cap of A$7.13 billion.
Operations: The company's revenue segments include Funds Management at A$448.60 million, Property Investments at A$322.80 million, and Development Investments at A$73.30 million.
Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 47.8%
Charter Hall Group is trading at A$15.01, significantly below its estimated fair value of A$28.75, suggesting it is undervalued based on discounted cash flow analysis. The company is expected to become profitable within three years, with earnings forecasted to grow annually by 33.39%. Despite lower-than-benchmark return on equity projections and slower revenue growth compared to some peers, Charter Hall maintains a reliable dividend yield of 3.06%, enhancing its appeal as an investment option in the sector.
- Our earnings growth report unveils the potential for significant increases in Charter Hall Group's future results.
- Navigate through the intricacies of Charter Hall Group with our comprehensive financial health report here.
Viva Energy Group (ASX:VEA)
Overview: Viva Energy Group Limited is an energy company operating in Australia, Singapore, and Papua New Guinea with a market cap of A$4.18 billion.
Operations: The company's revenue segments include Convenience & Mobility at A$11.43 billion, Commercial & Industrial at A$16.97 billion, and Energy & Infrastructure at A$7.92 billion.
Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 18.7%
Viva Energy Group, trading at A$2.61, is undervalued based on discounted cash flow analysis with a fair value estimate of A$3.21. Despite slower revenue growth projections of 2% annually and interest payments not well covered by earnings, the company’s earnings are forecast to grow significantly at 25.8% per year, outpacing the Australian market's average growth rate. Recent sales volumes increased by 3%, indicating operational progress despite financial challenges like shareholder dilution and unsustainable dividends.
- The growth report we've compiled suggests that Viva Energy Group's future prospects could be on the up.
- Dive into the specifics of Viva Energy Group here with our thorough financial health report.
Summing It All Up
- Explore the 33 names from our Undervalued ASX Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener here.
- Hold shares in these firms? Setup your portfolio in Simply Wall St to seamlessly track your investments and receive personalized updates on your portfolio's performance.
- Invest smarter with the free Simply Wall St app providing detailed insights into every stock market around the globe.
Ready To Venture Into Other Investment Styles?
- Explore high-performing small cap companies that haven't yet garnered significant analyst attention.
- Diversify your portfolio with solid dividend payers offering reliable income streams to weather potential market turbulence.
- Fuel your portfolio with companies showing strong growth potential, backed by optimistic outlooks both from analysts and management.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
New: AI Stock Screener & Alerts
Our new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.
• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)
• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying
• High growth Tech and AI Companies
Or build your own from over 50 metrics.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
About ASX:360
Life360
Operates a technology platform to locate people, pets, and things in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally.