Stock Analysis

ASX Value Stock Estimates For December 2024

Published

As the Australian market wrapped up the Christmas week with a modest gain, the ASX 200 closed at 8,251 points, marking a third consecutive win for investors despite lighter trading volumes during the holiday period. In this environment of sector-wide gains, identifying undervalued stocks becomes crucial as investors seek opportunities that align with current market trends and economic conditions.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Australia

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Data#3 (ASX:DTL)A$6.46A$12.2847.4%
Regal Partners (ASX:RPL)A$3.64A$6.3542.7%
Medibank Private (ASX:MPL)A$3.83A$6.3839.9%
Telix Pharmaceuticals (ASX:TLX)A$24.95A$43.9443.2%
Ansell (ASX:ANN)A$33.66A$60.2144.1%
Ingenia Communities Group (ASX:INA)A$4.73A$9.2048.6%
Charter Hall Group (ASX:CHC)A$15.01A$28.7547.8%
Millennium Services Group (ASX:MIL)A$1.145A$2.2448.9%
Genesis Minerals (ASX:GMD)A$2.55A$4.8947.9%
Sandfire Resources (ASX:SFR)A$9.51A$16.5542.6%

Click here to see the full list of 33 stocks from our Undervalued ASX Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Let's explore several standout options from the results in the screener.

Life360 (ASX:360)

Overview: Life360, Inc. operates a technology platform for locating people, pets, and things across North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally with a market cap of A$4.99 billion.

Operations: The company generates revenue from its Software & Programming segment, amounting to $342.92 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 22.7%

Life360 is currently trading at 22.7% below its estimated fair value of A$29.70, making it potentially undervalued based on discounted cash flow analysis. Despite recent significant insider selling and a lowered revenue forecast for 2024 due to reduced hardware sales, the company's core subscription revenue growth remains robust at over 25% year-over-year. Earnings have improved, with Q3 net income reaching US$7.69 million compared to a loss last year, highlighting progress towards profitability within three years.

ASX:360 Discounted Cash Flow as at Dec 2024

Charter Hall Group (ASX:CHC)

Overview: Charter Hall Group is a leading Australian fully integrated property investment and funds management company with a market cap of A$7.13 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue segments include Funds Management at A$448.60 million, Property Investments at A$322.80 million, and Development Investments at A$73.30 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 47.8%

Charter Hall Group is trading at A$15.01, significantly below its estimated fair value of A$28.75, suggesting it is undervalued based on discounted cash flow analysis. The company is expected to become profitable within three years, with earnings forecasted to grow annually by 33.39%. Despite lower-than-benchmark return on equity projections and slower revenue growth compared to some peers, Charter Hall maintains a reliable dividend yield of 3.06%, enhancing its appeal as an investment option in the sector.

ASX:CHC Discounted Cash Flow as at Dec 2024

Viva Energy Group (ASX:VEA)

Overview: Viva Energy Group Limited is an energy company operating in Australia, Singapore, and Papua New Guinea with a market cap of A$4.18 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue segments include Convenience & Mobility at A$11.43 billion, Commercial & Industrial at A$16.97 billion, and Energy & Infrastructure at A$7.92 billion.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 18.7%

Viva Energy Group, trading at A$2.61, is undervalued based on discounted cash flow analysis with a fair value estimate of A$3.21. Despite slower revenue growth projections of 2% annually and interest payments not well covered by earnings, the company’s earnings are forecast to grow significantly at 25.8% per year, outpacing the Australian market's average growth rate. Recent sales volumes increased by 3%, indicating operational progress despite financial challenges like shareholder dilution and unsustainable dividends.

ASX:VEA Discounted Cash Flow as at Dec 2024

Summing It All Up

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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