Stock Analysis

3 ASX Stocks Estimated To Be Trading Up To 44.5% Below Intrinsic Value

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Over the last 7 days, the Australian market has remained flat, yet it has risen 15% in the past 12 months with earnings expected to grow by 12% per annum over the next few years. In this context, identifying undervalued stocks can be a strategic move for investors looking to capitalize on potential growth opportunities.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Australia

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Ingenia Communities Group (ASX:INA)A$5.21A$9.4044.6%
Medibank Private (ASX:MPL)A$3.66A$6.4843.5%
MLG Oz (ASX:MLG)A$0.63A$1.1645.7%
Ansell (ASX:ANN)A$31.69A$56.2343.6%
Megaport (ASX:MP1)A$7.31A$13.5045.8%
Genesis Minerals (ASX:GMD)A$2.15A$3.9645.7%
Charter Hall Group (ASX:CHC)A$16.25A$29.2644.5%
Millennium Services Group (ASX:MIL)A$1.145A$2.2448.9%
Little Green Pharma (ASX:LGP)A$0.09A$0.1746.8%
Superloop (ASX:SLC)A$1.665A$3.3149.7%

Click here to see the full list of 41 stocks from our Undervalued ASX Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Let's take a closer look at a couple of our picks from the screened companies.

Charter Hall Group (ASX:CHC)

Overview: Charter Hall Group (ASX:CHC) is a leading Australian fully integrated property investment and funds management company with a market cap of A$7.69 billion.

Operations: Charter Hall's revenue segments include Funds Management (A$448.60 million), Property Investments (A$322.80 million), and Development Investments (A$73.30 million).

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 44.5%

Charter Hall Group appears undervalued, trading at A$16.25, significantly below its estimated fair value of A$29.26. Despite a recent net loss of A$222.1 million for FY24, the company forecasts post-tax operating earnings growth of 4% and distribution growth of 6% for FY25. Analysts expect annual revenue growth of 8.3% and a return to profitability within three years, suggesting potential upside based on cash flow analysis.

ASX:CHC Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2024

Duratec (ASX:DUR)

Overview: Duratec Limited (ASX:DUR) provides assessment, protection, remediation, and refurbishment services for steel and concrete infrastructure in Australia with a market cap of A$365.11 million.

Operations: Duratec's revenue segments include Energy (A$46.64 million), Defence (A$220.16 million), Buildings & Facades (A$111.33 million), and Mining & Industrial (A$155.64 million).

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 43.5%

Duratec Limited, recently added to the S&P Global BMI Index, appears undervalued with a current trading price of A$1.47 against an estimated fair value of A$2.60. The company reported FY24 sales of A$555.79 million and net income of A$21.43 million, with earnings per share increasing from the previous year. Despite a dividend decrease, Duratec's revenue is forecast to grow at 7.3% annually, outpacing the broader Australian market's growth rate and supporting its undervaluation based on cash flow analysis.

ASX:DUR Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2024

Sandfire Resources (ASX:SFR)

Overview: Sandfire Resources Limited, with a market cap of A$4.74 billion, is a mining company involved in the exploration, evaluation, and development of mineral tenements and projects.

Operations: The company's revenue segments include the Motheo Copper Project with $346.47 million, MATSA Copper Operations generating $565.68 million, and Degrussa Copper Operations contributing $29.40 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 29.9%

Sandfire Resources, recently added to the S&P/ASX 100 Index, trades at A$10.37, below its estimated fair value of A$14.79. Despite a net loss of US$17.35 million for FY24, revenue grew to US$935.19 million from US$803.97 million previously. Forecasts indicate an 8.8% annual revenue growth and profitability within three years, supporting its undervaluation based on cash flows and future earnings potential despite current challenges in return on equity projections (12%).

ASX:SFR Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2024

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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