Abacus Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Abacus Group's revenue is forecast to decline at 4.6% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 4% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 4.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 4.9% in 3 years.

Key information

4.0%

Earnings growth rate

4.83%

EPS growth rate

Office REITs earnings growth	5.0%
Revenue growth rate	-4.6%
Future return on equity	4.89%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	01 Jun 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

New Narrative • Feb 20

Office Leasing And Self Storage Platform Will Shape A Cautious But Stable Outlook

Catalysts About Abacus Group Abacus Group is a diversified commercial REIT investing in office, retail and self storage assets in Australia, including a 19.8% interest and fund management role in Abacus Storage King. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?

New Narrative • Feb 05

Office Leasing Tailwinds And Scalable Fee Platform Will Support Stronger Future Performance

Catalysts About Abacus Group Abacus Group is a diversified commercial REIT investing in office, retail and self storage assets, including a 19.8% stake and management role in Abacus Storage King. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?

New Narrative • Sep 02

Sydney Metro Expansion And Capital Recycling Will Boost Office Demand

Key Takeaways Divestment of noncore assets and capital recycling enable reinvestment into high-growth sectors, strengthening revenue and earnings growth opportunities. Operational streamlining and strategic sector expansion boost margin resilience, while favorable investor dynamics support asset valuations and long-term profitability.

Analysis Article • Feb 27

Could The Abacus Property Group (ASX:ABP) Ownership Structure Tell Us Something Useful?

A look at the shareholders of Abacus Property Group ( ASX:ABP ) can tell us which group is most powerful. Large...

Analysis Article • Jan 31

Abacus Property Group (ASX:ABP) Share Prices Have Dropped 28% In The Last Year

Passive investing in an index fund is a good way to ensure your own returns roughly match the overall market. Active...

Analysis Article • Jan 05

Insider Buying: The Abacus Property Group (ASX:ABP) Chairman Just Bought 21% More Shares

Even if it's not a huge purchase, we think it was good to see that Myra Salkinder, the Chairman of Abacus Property...

Analysis Article • Dec 17

How Much Is Abacus Property Group's (ASX:ABP) CEO Getting Paid?

Steven Sewell became the CEO of Abacus Property Group ( ASX:ABP ) in 2018, and we think it's a good time to look at the...

Analysis Article • Nov 26

Have Insiders Been Buying Abacus Property Group (ASX:ABP) Shares This Year?

It is not uncommon to see companies perform well in the years after insiders buy shares. On the other hand, we'd be...

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ASX:ABG - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
6/30/2028	194	96	46	76	3
6/30/2027	192	93	45	74	3
6/30/2026	195	78	47	81	3
12/31/2025	238	80	84	84	N/A
9/30/2025	245	54	75	75	N/A
6/30/2025	252	27	65	65	N/A
3/31/2025	235	-38	67	67	N/A
12/31/2024	218	-103	68	68	N/A
9/30/2024	205	-173	56	56	N/A
6/30/2024	192	-242	44	44	N/A
3/31/2024	171	-283	101	101	N/A
12/31/2023	150	-324	157	157	N/A
9/30/2023	146	-281	123	123	N/A
6/30/2023	141	-238	89	89	N/A
12/31/2022	-2	-254	31	31	N/A
9/30/2022	78	-67	95	95	N/A
6/30/2022	158	119	158	158	N/A
3/31/2022	380	525	152	152	N/A
12/31/2021	392	532	145	145	N/A
9/30/2021	340	451	138	138	N/A
6/30/2021	289	369	132	132	N/A
3/31/2021	275	262	143	143	N/A
12/31/2020	261	154	154	154	N/A
9/30/2020	273	120	179	179	N/A
6/30/2020	284	85	205	205	N/A
3/31/2020	298	121	188	188	N/A
12/31/2019	312	157	170	170	N/A
9/30/2019	307	179	N/A	140	N/A
6/30/2019	303	201	N/A	109	N/A
12/31/2018	355	249	N/A	161	N/A
9/30/2018	367	244	N/A	177	N/A
6/30/2018	379	240	N/A	194	N/A
3/31/2018	357	227	N/A	162	N/A
12/31/2017	319	211	N/A	129	N/A
9/30/2017	320	248	N/A	123	N/A
6/30/2017	321	285	N/A	116	N/A
3/31/2017	319	294	N/A	111	N/A
12/31/2016	316	302	N/A	105	N/A
9/30/2016	308	244	N/A	98	N/A
6/30/2016	301	186	N/A	92	N/A
3/31/2016	313	166	N/A	110	N/A
12/31/2015	326	147	N/A	129	N/A
9/30/2015	323	140	N/A	124	N/A
6/30/2015	321	133	N/A	119	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: ABG's forecast earnings growth (4% per year) is above the savings rate (3.6%).

Earnings vs Market: ABG's earnings (4% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Australian market (12.1% per year).

High Growth Earnings: ABG's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: ABG's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-4.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: ABG's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-4.6% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: ABG's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (4.9%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2026/06/04 21:32
End of Day Share Price	2026/06/04 00:00
Earnings	2025/12/31
Annual Earnings	2025/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Abacus Group is covered by 13 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Nicholas McGarrigle	Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Steven Tjia	Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
April Lowis	Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited

Abacus Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target decreased by 12% to AU$1.15

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 20%

Price target decreased by 14% to AU$1.35

Price target decreased by 7.2% to AU$1.62

Price target decreased by 10% to AU$1.78

Price target decreased by 11% to AU$2.67

Recent updates

Price target decreased by 12% to AU$1.15

Abacus Group Reportedly Plans Sale of Stake In Abacus Storage King

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 20%

First half 2026 earnings released: FFO per share: AU$0.04 (vs AU$0.045 in 1H 2025)

Abacus Group Reaffirms Distribution Guidance of Fiscal Year 2026

Office Leasing And Self Storage Platform Will Shape A Cautious But Stable Outlook

Office Leasing Tailwinds And Scalable Fee Platform Will Support Stronger Future Performance

Final dividend of AU$0.043 announced

Abacus Group, Annual General Meeting, Nov 20, 2025

Sydney Metro Expansion And Capital Recycling Will Boost Office Demand

Full year 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Abacus Group Announces Ordinary Dividend on ABP - FULLY PAID ORDINARY/UNITS STAPLED SECURITIES for the Six Months Ended June 30, 2025, Payable on August 29, 2025

Abacus Group Announces Ordinary Dividend for the Six Months Ended June 30, 2025, Payable on August 29, 2025

First half dividend of AU$0.043 announced

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Abacus Group Affirms Distribution Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2025

Final dividend of AU$0.043 announced

Abacus Group Announces Executive Changes

Now 21% undervalued

Insufficient new directors

Sally Herman to Retire from Abacus Group Board, Effective September 30, 2024

HMC Capital Limited (ASX:HMC) acquired Market Central Lutwyche from Abacus Group (ASX:ABG) and ISPT Retail Australia Property Trust managed by ISPT Pty Ltd for approximately AUD 120 million.

Full year 2024 earnings released: AU$0.27 loss per share (vs AU$0.27 loss in FY 2023)

Dividend of AU$0.043 announced

Now 23% overvalued

Price target decreased by 14% to AU$1.35

Now 22% overvalued after recent price rise

Abacus Group, Annual General Meeting, Nov 20, 2024

Now 22% overvalued after recent price rise

First half 2024 earnings released: AU$0.16 loss per share (vs AU$0.095 profit in 1H 2023)

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.043 per share at 15% yield

Abacus Group to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Feb 27, 2024

Price target decreased by 7.2% to AU$1.62

Abacus Property Group Announces Dividend on ABP - Fully Paid Ordinary/Units Stapled Securities for the Six Months Ended December 31, 2023 Payable on February 29, 2024

Price target decreased by 10% to AU$1.78

Abacus Group(ASX:ABG) dropped from S&P/ASX 200 Index

New minor risk - Dividend sustainability

Full year 2023 earnings released: FFO per share: AU$0.2 (vs AU$0.19 in FY 2022)

Abacus Group Provides Distributions Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2024

Abacus Property Group Announces Executive Changes

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 53%

Price target decreased by 11% to AU$2.67

Now 42% undervalued after recent price drop

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.094 per share at 7.1% yield

Abacus Property Group Announces Dividend for the Six Months Ending June 30, 2023, Payable on August 31, 2023

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 10%

Non-Executive Director recently bought AU$50k worth of stock

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.095 (vs AU$0.38 in 1H 2022)

Now 21% undervalued

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.09 per share

Abacus Property Group Announces Dividend on ABP - FULLY PAID ORDINARY/UNITS STAPLED SECURITIES for the Six Months Ended Dec. 31, 2022 Payable on Feb. 28, 2022

Abacus Group Appoints Sally Herman as A Non-Executive Director, Effective 16 December 2022

Now 21% undervalued

Abacus Property Group Announces Retirement of Holly Kramer as Director

Abacus Property Group Announces Executive Changes

Abacus Property Group, Annual General Meeting, Nov 23, 2022

MD & Director recently bought AU$90k worth of stock

MD & Director recently bought AU$180k worth of stock

Abacus Property Group Provides Distribution Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2023

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

Now 22% undervalued after recent price drop

Abacus Property Group Announces Dividend for the Six Months Ending June 30, 2022, Payable on August 31, 2022

Now 22% undervalued after recent price drop

Abacus Property Group Announces Executive Changes

Wing Tai Holdings Limited (SGX:W05) agreed to acquire remaining 50% stake in VACC House from Abacus Property Group (ASX:ABP) for AUD 49.4 million.

First half 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.087 per share

Abacus Property Group (ASX:ABP) agreed to acquire 77 Castlereagh Street, Sydney NSW for AUD 250 million.

MD & Director recently bought AU$409k worth of stock