Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Ecofibre Limited (ASX:EOF) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for Ecofibre
What Is Ecofibre's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2023 Ecofibre had debt of AU$26.6m, up from AU$18.8m in one year. However, it also had AU$7.29m in cash, and so its net debt is AU$19.3m.
How Strong Is Ecofibre's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Ecofibre had liabilities of AU$6.46m due within a year, and liabilities of AU$37.6m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of AU$7.29m as well as receivables valued at AU$2.94m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by AU$33.9m.
This deficit isn't so bad because Ecofibre is worth AU$65.7m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Ecofibre's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Over 12 months, Ecofibre reported revenue of AU$33m, which is a gain of 7.6%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.
Caveat Emptor
Over the last twelve months Ecofibre produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Its EBIT loss was a whopping AU$25m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled AU$8.6m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 5 warning signs for Ecofibre you should be aware of, and 2 of them can't be ignored.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:EOF
Ecofibre
Engages in the polymer, health care, and hemp seed genetics businesses in the United States and Australia.
Slight and slightly overvalued.