Stock Analysis

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Aroa Biosurgery Limited's (ASX:ARX) 25% Share Price Plunge

ASX:ARX
Source: Shutterstock

Aroa Biosurgery Limited (ASX:ARX) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 25% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 48% in that time.

Since its price has dipped substantially, Aroa Biosurgery may look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.5x, considering almost half of all companies in the Biotechs industry in Australia have P/S ratios greater than 9.8x and even P/S higher than 24x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

See our latest analysis for Aroa Biosurgery

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:ARX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 30th 2024

What Does Aroa Biosurgery's Recent Performance Look Like?

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Aroa Biosurgery has been relatively sluggish. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the growth of the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Aroa Biosurgery's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Aroa Biosurgery's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Aroa Biosurgery would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 29% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 212% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the five analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 23% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 264%, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we can see why Aroa Biosurgery is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Aroa Biosurgery's P/S?

Aroa Biosurgery's P/S looks about as weak as its stock price lately. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As expected, our analysis of Aroa Biosurgery's analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Aroa Biosurgery with six simple checks on some of these key factors.

If you're unsure about the strength of Aroa Biosurgery's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Aroa Biosurgery is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ASX:ARX

Aroa Biosurgery

Aroa Biosurgery Limited, a regenerative medicine company, engages in the developing, manufacturing, and sells medical devices for wound and tissue repair using extracellular matrix (ECM) technology in the United States and internationally.

High growth potential with excellent balance sheet.