Stock Analysis

Is Seven West Media's (ASX:SWM) Share Price Gain Of 200% Well Earned?

ASX:SWM
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The most you can lose on any stock (assuming you don't use leverage) is 100% of your money. But if you pick the right business to buy shares in, you can make more than you can lose. For example, the Seven West Media Limited (ASX:SWM) share price has soared 200% in the last year. Most would be very happy with that, especially in just one year! Also pleasing for shareholders was the 120% gain in the last three months. This could be related to the recent financial results, released recently - you can catch up on the most recent data by reading our company report. Unfortunately the longer term returns are not so good, with the stock falling 16% in the last three years.

View our latest analysis for Seven West Media

Seven West Media isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally expect to see good revenue growth. That's because it's hard to be confident a company will be sustainable if revenue growth is negligible, and it never makes a profit.

Seven West Media actually shrunk its revenue over the last year, with a reduction of 14%. We're a little surprised to see the share price pop 200% in the last year. It just goes to show the market doesn't always pay attention to the reported numbers. Of course, it could be that the market expected this revenue drop.

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
ASX:SWM Earnings and Revenue Growth February 23rd 2021

Seven West Media is a well known stock, with plenty of analyst coverage, suggesting some visibility into future growth. Given we have quite a good number of analyst forecasts, it might be well worth checking out this free chart depicting consensus estimates.

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that Seven West Media has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 200% in the last twelve months. That certainly beats the loss of about 6% per year over the last half decade. This makes us a little wary, but the business might have turned around its fortunes. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Seven West Media better, we need to consider many other factors. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Seven West Media (of which 2 don't sit too well with us!) you should know about.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on AU exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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