Stock Analysis

We're Not Worried About PlaySide Studios' (ASX:PLY) Cash Burn

ASX:PLY
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Just because a business does not make any money, does not mean that the stock will go down. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.

So, the natural question for PlaySide Studios (ASX:PLY) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its 'cash runway'.

View our latest analysis for PlaySide Studios

How Long Is PlaySide Studios' Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. When PlaySide Studios last reported its balance sheet in June 2023, it had zero debt and cash worth AU$32m. In the last year, its cash burn was AU$5.2m. So it had a cash runway of about 6.2 years from June 2023. Importantly, though, analysts think that PlaySide Studios will reach cashflow breakeven before then. In that case, it may never reach the end of its cash runway. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:PLY Debt to Equity History October 5th 2023

Is PlaySide Studios' Revenue Growing?

We're hesitant to extrapolate on the recent trend to assess its cash burn, because PlaySide Studios actually had positive free cash flow last year, so operating revenue growth is probably our best bet to measure, right now. We think that it's fairly positive to see that revenue grew 31% in the last twelve months. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. For that reason, it makes a lot of sense to take a look at our analyst forecasts for the company.

Can PlaySide Studios Raise More Cash Easily?

While PlaySide Studios is showing solid revenue growth, it's still worth considering how easily it could raise more cash, even just to fuel faster growth. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

PlaySide Studios has a market capitalisation of AU$175m and burnt through AU$5.2m last year, which is 3.0% of the company's market value. So it could almost certainly just borrow a little to fund another year's growth, or else easily raise the cash by issuing a few shares.

Is PlaySide Studios' Cash Burn A Worry?

It may already be apparent to you that we're relatively comfortable with the way PlaySide Studios is burning through its cash. For example, we think its cash runway suggests that the company is on a good path. But it's fair to say that its revenue growth was also very reassuring. It's clearly very positive to see that analysts are forecasting the company will break even fairly soon. Taking all the factors in this report into account, we're not at all worried about its cash burn, as the business appears well capitalized to spend as needs be. When you don't have traditional metrics like earnings per share and free cash flow to value a company, many are extra motivated to consider qualitative factors such as whether insiders are buying or selling shares. Please Note: PlaySide Studios insiders have been trading shares, according to our data. Click here to check whether insiders have been buying or selling.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.