NZME Valuation

Is NZM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NZM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NZM (A$0.95) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$2.18)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NZM is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NZM?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

NZM key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA11.7x
PEG Ratio1.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NZM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NZM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.3x
SWM Seven West Media
5.4x13.2%AU$243.1m
GTN GTN
16.1x34.3%AU$91.1m
IGL IVE Group
12.4x19.2%AU$342.3m
HPG hipages Group Holdings
51.2x24.9%AU$182.3m
NZM NZME
16.2x14.1%AU$197.9m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NZM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.2x) compared to the peer average (21.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NZM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Media Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a25.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a25.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NZM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.2x) compared to the Global Media industry average (15.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NZM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NZM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.2x
Fair PE Ratio19.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NZM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NZM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$0.95
AU$1.03
+8.4%
4.9%AU$1.08AU$0.98n/a2
Nov ’25AU$0.97
AU$1.09
+12.0%
0.9%AU$1.10AU$1.08n/a2
Oct ’25AU$0.96
AU$1.09
+12.5%
0.9%AU$1.10AU$1.08n/a2
Sep ’25AU$0.89
AU$1.09
+22.0%
0.9%AU$1.10AU$1.08n/a2

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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