Stock Analysis

Frontier Digital Ventures Limited (ASX:FDV) Stock's 26% Dive Might Signal An Opportunity But It Requires Some Scrutiny

ASX:FDV
Source: Shutterstock

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Frontier Digital Ventures Limited (ASX:FDV) share price has dived 26% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 58% loss during that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, Frontier Digital Ventures' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of -16.1x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in Australia, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 17x and even P/E's above 33x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

Recent times have been advantageous for Frontier Digital Ventures as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for Frontier Digital Ventures

pe-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:FDV Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 17th 2023
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Frontier Digital Ventures.

How Is Frontier Digital Ventures' Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Frontier Digital Ventures would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 39% last year. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 27% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 16%, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it odd that Frontier Digital Ventures is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Final Word

Having almost fallen off a cliff, Frontier Digital Ventures' share price has pulled its P/E way down as well. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Frontier Digital Ventures' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Frontier Digital Ventures has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

You might be able to find a better investment than Frontier Digital Ventures. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

New: AI Stock Screener & Alerts

Our new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.

• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)
• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying
• High growth Tech and AI Companies

Or build your own from over 50 metrics.

Explore Now for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.