ARN Media Limited's (ASX:A1N) investors are due to receive a payment of A$0.012 per share on 25th of September. This means that the annual payment will be 5.0% of the current stock price, which is in line with the average for the industry.
ARN Media's Projections Indicate Future Payments May Be Unsustainable
Estimates Indicate ARN Media's Could Struggle to Maintain Dividend Payments In The Future
ARN Media's Future Dividends May Potentially Be At Risk
Unless the payments are sustainable, the dividend yield doesn't mean too much. Even though ARN Media isn't generating a profit, it is generating healthy free cash flows that easily cover the dividend. In general, cash flows are more important than the more traditional measures of profit so we feel pretty comfortable with the dividend at this level.
The next 12 months is set to see EPS grow by 190.3%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could get very high, which probably can't continue without starting to put some pressure on the balance sheet.
Check out our latest analysis for ARN Media
ARN Media's Dividend Has Lacked Consistency
It's comforting to see that ARN Media has been paying a dividend for a number of years now, however it has been cut at least once in that time. This makes us cautious about the consistency of the dividend over a full economic cycle. The annual payment during the last 9 years was A$0.04 in 2016, and the most recent fiscal year payment was A$0.023. Doing the maths, this is a decline of about 6.0% per year. Generally, we don't like to see a dividend that has been declining over time as this can degrade shareholders' returns and indicate that the company may be running into problems.
The Dividend's Growth Prospects Are Limited
Given that dividend payments have been shrinking like a glacier in a warming world, we need to check if there are some bright spots on the horizon. However, ARN Media's EPS was effectively flat over the past five years, which could stop the company from paying more every year. With EPS growth hard to come by and the company not turning a profit, we wouldn't be particularly optimistic about the growth prospects for ARN Media's dividend in the future.
Our Thoughts On ARN Media's Dividend
In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about ARN Media's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For example, we've picked out 2 warning signs for ARN Media that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:A1N
ARN Media
Operates as a media and entertainment company in Australia and Hong Kong.
Undervalued with adequate balance sheet.
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