Xanadu Mines Limited

CHIA:XAM Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$90.5m

Xanadu Mines Valuation

Is XAM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of XAM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
AU$0.69
Fair Value
93.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
2
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: XAM (A$0.05) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$0.69)

Significantly Below Fair Value: XAM is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for XAM?

Key metric: As XAM is unprofitable and pre-revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for XAM. This is calculated by dividing XAM's market cap by their current book value.
What is XAM's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio1.4x
BookAU$64.48m
Market CapAU$90.51m

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does XAM's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for XAM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3.8x
RIM Rimfire Pacific Mining
5.5xn/aAU$87.1m
ASN Anson Resources
1.7x70.3%AU$92.8m
WR1 Winsome Resources
1x-12.3%AU$97.5m
ZEO Zeotech
7.1xn/aAU$83.4m
XAM Xanadu Mines
1.4x53.0%AU$90.5m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: XAM is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (1.4x) compared to the peer average (3.8x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does XAM's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Metals and Mining Industry?

14 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
JRV Jervois Global
0.1xn/aUS$18.53m
ADN Andromeda Metals
0.1x25.5%US$14.91m
CTO Citigold
0.1xn/aUS$7.46m
PUR Pursuit Minerals
0.1xn/aUS$4.24m
XAM 1.4xIndustry Avg. 1.1xNo. of Companies97PB00.81.62.43.24+
14 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: XAM is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (1.4x) compared to the Australian Metals and Mining industry average (1.1x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is XAM's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

XAM PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio1.4x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate XAM's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst XAM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$0.047
AU$0.21
+346.8%
14.3%AU$0.24AU$0.18n/a2
Jan ’26AU$0.048
AU$0.21
+337.5%
14.3%AU$0.24AU$0.18n/a2
Dec ’25AU$0.051
AU$0.21
+315.8%
14.3%AU$0.24AU$0.18n/a2
Nov ’25AU$0.064
AU$0.21
+228.1%
14.3%AU$0.24AU$0.18n/a2
Oct ’25AU$0.06
AU$0.20
+225.0%
7.7%AU$0.21AU$0.18n/a2
Sep ’25AU$0.057
AU$0.20
+242.1%
7.7%AU$0.21AU$0.18n/a2
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 2 Analysts
AU$0.21
Fair Value
77.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
2
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/08 07:33
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/08 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Xanadu Mines Limited is covered by 4 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Edmund Anthony HenningCLSA
Michael CarewHaywood Securities Inc.
Michael BentleyMST Financial Services Pty Limited