Regis Resources Limited

CHIA:RRL Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$2.2b

Regis Resources Valuation

Is RRL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of RRL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
AU$9.11
Fair Value
67.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
11
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: RRL (A$2.96) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$9.11)

Significantly Below Fair Value: RRL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for RRL?

Key metric: As RRL is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for RRL. This is calculated by dividing RRL's market cap by their current revenue.
What is RRL's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.8x
SalesAU$1.26b
Market CapAU$2.24b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does RRL's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for RRL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3.6x
GOR Gold Road Resources
5.7x16.5%AU$2.6b
RMS Ramelius Resources
3.1x-8.9%AU$2.7b
WGX Westgold Resources
3.1x20.4%AU$2.5b
WAF West African Resources
2.7x42.2%AU$1.9b
RRL Regis Resources
1.8x3.5%AU$2.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: RRL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.8x) compared to the peer average (3.6x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does RRL's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Metals and Mining Industry?

125 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.58.5x3.7%
RRL Regis Resources
 1.8x3.5%US$1.39b
BHP BHP Group
2.2x-3.2%US$125.90b
FMG Fortescue
2x-5.5%US$36.64b
RRL 1.8xIndustry Avg. 58.5xNo. of Companies124PS020406080100+
125 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.58.5x10.7%
RRL Regis Resources
 1.8x52.0%US$1.39b
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: RRL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.8x) compared to the Australian Metals and Mining industry average (56x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is RRL's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

RRL PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.8x
Fair PS Ratio0.6x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: RRL is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst RRL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$2.96
AU$2.88
-2.7%
21.0%AU$4.00AU$1.75n/a11
Jan ’26AU$2.57
AU$2.72
+6.0%
22.8%AU$3.80AU$1.75n/a11
Dec ’25AU$2.56
AU$2.61
+2.0%
20.6%AU$3.35AU$1.75n/a11
Nov ’25AU$2.70
AU$2.61
-3.3%
20.9%AU$3.35AU$1.75n/a11
Oct ’25AU$2.01
AU$2.02
+0.6%
21.0%AU$2.90AU$1.25n/a11
Sep ’25AU$1.87
AU$1.99
+6.4%
19.5%AU$2.70AU$1.25n/a11
Aug ’25AU$1.68
AU$2.06
+22.4%
17.5%AU$2.70AU$1.40n/a11
Jul ’25AU$1.75
AU$2.31
+32.1%
20.2%AU$3.10AU$1.55n/a11
Jun ’25AU$1.85
AU$2.27
+22.9%
20.9%AU$3.10AU$1.40n/a11
May ’25AU$2.09
AU$2.21
+5.8%
21.1%AU$2.80AU$1.30n/a11
Apr ’25AU$2.01
AU$2.16
+7.2%
22.7%AU$2.70AU$1.25n/a11
Mar ’25AU$1.82
AU$2.14
+17.8%
22.1%AU$2.60AU$1.25n/a11
Feb ’25AU$1.97
AU$2.14
+8.5%
22.1%AU$2.60AU$1.25n/a11
Jan ’25AU$2.18
AU$1.95
-10.4%
19.9%AU$2.50AU$1.20AU$2.5711
Dec ’24AU$1.95
AU$1.91
-1.7%
19.0%AU$2.40AU$1.20AU$2.5611
Nov ’24AU$1.75
AU$1.88
+7.4%
21.1%AU$2.40AU$1.10AU$2.7011
Oct ’24AU$1.48
AU$1.85
+24.7%
20.8%AU$2.40AU$1.10AU$2.0111
Sep ’24AU$1.60
AU$1.82
+13.5%
20.0%AU$2.30AU$1.10AU$1.8711
Aug ’24AU$1.70
AU$2.04
+20.2%
15.2%AU$2.77AU$1.50AU$1.6811
Jul ’24AU$1.83
AU$2.36
+28.8%
16.7%AU$2.90AU$1.75AU$1.7510
Jun ’24AU$2.07
AU$2.37
+14.9%
16.3%AU$2.90AU$1.75AU$1.8510
May ’24AU$2.11
AU$2.41
+14.3%
16.1%AU$2.90AU$1.75AU$2.0911
Apr ’24AU$2.08
AU$2.16
+4.0%
22.9%AU$3.10AU$1.50AU$2.0111
Mar ’24AU$1.81
AU$2.11
+17.1%
21.4%AU$2.75AU$1.50AU$1.8211
Feb ’24AU$2.15
AU$2.22
+3.7%
22.0%AU$3.10AU$1.50AU$1.9712
Jan ’24AU$2.05
AU$2.11
+3.2%
21.3%AU$3.10AU$1.55AU$2.1812
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
AU$2.87
Fair Value
3.2% overvalued intrinsic discount
11
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/17 11:18
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/17 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Regis Resources Limited is covered by 28 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Kurt WordenAPP Securities Pty Ltd.
Russell WrightBarclay Pearce Capital Pty Limited
Daniel MorganBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited