Regis Resources Limited

CHIA:RRL Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$6.3b

Regis Resources Valuation

Is RRL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of RRL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: RRL (A$7.62) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value (A$25.19)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: RRL is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for RRL?

Key metric: As RRL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for RRL. This is calculated by dividing RRL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is RRL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio24.9x
EarningsAU$254.36m
Market CapAU$6.32b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does RRL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for RRL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average81.9x
CMM Capricorn Metals
46.6x28.99%AU$7.0b
WGX Westgold Resources
208.5x45.81%AU$6.9b
PRU Perseus Mining
15.8x12.17%AU$8.2b
EMR Emerald Resources
56.6x43.81%AU$4.8b
RRL Regis Resources
22.6x27.49%AU$5.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: RRL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.6x) compared to the peer average (78.2x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does RRL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Metals and Mining Industry?

9 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MMI Metro Mining
3.2x-2.53%US$292.52m
BRB Breaker Resources
3.9xn/aUS$110.05m
AGY Argosy Minerals
3.5xn/aUS$105.55m
PL9 Prairie Lithium
2.9xn/aUS$30.53m
RRL 24.9xIndustry Avg. 25.8xNo. of Companies14PE020406080100+
9 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: RRL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.6x) compared to the Australian Metals and Mining industry average (26.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is RRL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

RRL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio24.9x
Fair PE Ratio28.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: RRL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst RRL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$8.36
AU$7.82
-6.52%
16.65%AU$10.00AU$5.15n/a10
Jan ’27AU$7.56
AU$7.03
-7.05%
17.03%AU$9.60AU$5.00n/a10
Dec ’26AU$7.26
AU$6.57
-9.48%
16.10%AU$8.30AU$4.50n/a10
Nov ’26AU$6.40
AU$6.29
-1.69%
13.21%AU$7.25AU$4.50n/a10
Oct ’26AU$5.97
AU$5.49
-8.12%
10.98%AU$6.40AU$4.50n/a10
Sep ’26AU$4.76
AU$4.45
-6.62%
14.08%AU$5.30AU$3.10n/a10
Aug ’26AU$4.01
AU$4.44
+10.60%
13.79%AU$5.30AU$3.10n/a10
Jul ’26AU$4.43
AU$4.68
+5.57%
16.21%AU$6.00AU$3.10n/a12
Jun ’26AU$5.02
AU$4.43
-11.83%
15.65%AU$5.60AU$2.70n/a12
May ’26AU$4.38
AU$4.35
-0.54%
14.96%AU$5.60AU$2.70n/a12
Apr ’26AU$3.92
AU$3.52
-10.30%
18.33%AU$4.40AU$2.40n/a11
Mar ’26AU$3.20
AU$3.28
+2.53%
15.39%AU$3.90AU$2.10n/a11
Feb ’26AU$3.06
AU$3.09
+1.26%
18.66%AU$3.90AU$2.00n/a11
Jan ’26AU$2.57
AU$2.72
+6.01%
22.78%AU$3.80AU$1.75AU$7.5611
Dec ’25AU$2.56
AU$2.61
+1.99%
20.62%AU$3.35AU$1.75AU$7.2611
Nov ’25AU$2.70
AU$2.61
-3.29%
20.88%AU$3.35AU$1.75AU$6.4011
Oct ’25AU$2.01
AU$2.02
+0.55%
21.05%AU$2.90AU$1.25AU$5.9711
Sep ’25AU$1.87
AU$1.99
+6.38%
19.54%AU$2.70AU$1.25AU$4.7611
Aug ’25AU$1.68
AU$2.06
+22.36%
17.49%AU$2.70AU$1.40AU$4.0111
Jul ’25AU$1.75
AU$2.31
+32.13%
20.15%AU$3.10AU$1.55AU$4.4311
Jun ’25AU$1.85
AU$2.27
+22.91%
20.93%AU$3.10AU$1.40AU$5.0211
May ’25AU$2.09
AU$2.21
+5.79%
21.06%AU$2.80AU$1.30AU$4.3811
Apr ’25AU$2.01
AU$2.16
+7.24%
22.68%AU$2.70AU$1.25AU$3.9211
Mar ’25AU$1.82
AU$2.14
+17.77%
22.09%AU$2.60AU$1.25AU$3.2011
Feb ’25AU$1.97
AU$2.14
+8.50%
22.09%AU$2.60AU$1.25AU$3.0611
Jan ’25AU$2.18
AU$1.95
-10.38%
19.95%AU$2.50AU$1.20AU$2.5711
AU$7.82
Fair Value
6.8% overvalued intrinsic discount
10
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/01/23 18:19
End of Day Share Price 2026/01/23 00:00
Earnings2025/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Regis Resources Limited is covered by 26 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Dale KoendersBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Daniel MorganBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Mollie UrquhartBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited