Predictive Discovery Limited

CHIA:PDI Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$623.0m

Predictive Discovery Valuation

Is PDI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PDI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate PDI's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate PDI's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PDI?

Key metric: As PDI barely has revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for PDI. This is calculated by dividing PDI's market cap by their current book value.
What is PDI's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio3.7x
BookAU$169.95m
Market CapAU$622.99m

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does PDI's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for PDI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3.2x
BC8 Black Cat Syndicate
3.3xn/aAU$386.0m
KCN Kingsgate Consolidated
1.3x-14.8%AU$322.2m
POL Polymetals Resources
6x65.0%AU$162.1m
BTR Brightstar Resources
2.2x86.0%AU$149.8m
PDI Predictive Discovery
3.7x81.9%AU$623.0m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: PDI is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (3.7x) compared to the peer average (3.2x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does PDI's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Metals and Mining Industry?

30 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GRR Grange Resources
0.2xn/aUS$156.54m
HAS Hastings Technology Metals
0.2x18.9%US$33.91m
JRV Jervois Global
0.1xn/aUS$18.48m
ADN Andromeda Metals
0.2x25.5%US$14.75m
PDI 3.7xIndustry Avg. 1.1xNo. of Companies104PB012345+
30 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: PDI is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (3.7x) compared to the Australian Metals and Mining industry average (1.1x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PDI's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PDI PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio3.7x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate PDI's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PDI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$0.26
AU$0.56
+114.9%
23.1%AU$0.80AU$0.45n/a5
Jan ’26AU$0.23
AU$0.52
+121.3%
13.0%AU$0.60AU$0.45n/a5
Dec ’25AU$0.25
AU$0.51
+104.0%
11.4%AU$0.60AU$0.45n/a5
Nov ’25AU$0.28
AU$0.51
+85.5%
11.4%AU$0.60AU$0.45n/a5
Oct ’25AU$0.26
AU$0.47
+84.3%
19.7%AU$0.60AU$0.35n/a5
Sep ’25AU$0.23
AU$0.45
+100.0%
18.6%AU$0.60AU$0.35n/a5
Aug ’25AU$0.18
AU$0.45
+150.0%
18.6%AU$0.60AU$0.35n/a5
Jul ’25AU$0.17
AU$0.46
+161.7%
17.5%AU$0.60AU$0.35n/a5
Jun ’25AU$0.19
AU$0.43
+123.4%
18.3%AU$0.55AU$0.35n/a4
May ’25AU$0.21
AU$0.43
+106.0%
17.0%AU$0.55AU$0.35n/a4
Apr ’25AU$0.22
AU$0.43
+93.6%
20.5%AU$0.55AU$0.32n/a5
Mar ’25AU$0.19
AU$0.43
+124.2%
20.5%AU$0.55AU$0.32n/a5
Feb ’25AU$0.21
AU$0.43
+102.9%
20.5%AU$0.55AU$0.32AU$0.265
Jan ’25AU$0.21
AU$0.42
+99.0%
21.6%AU$0.55AU$0.32AU$0.235
Dec ’24AU$0.23
AU$0.41
+77.4%
20.4%AU$0.55AU$0.32AU$0.255
Nov ’24AU$0.23
AU$0.41
+77.4%
20.4%AU$0.55AU$0.32AU$0.285
Oct ’24AU$0.20
AU$0.41
+109.2%
20.4%AU$0.55AU$0.32AU$0.265
Sep ’24AU$0.21
AU$0.41
+89.8%
20.4%AU$0.55AU$0.32AU$0.235
Aug ’24AU$0.17
AU$0.38
+129.1%
11.8%AU$0.45AU$0.32AU$0.185
Jul ’24AU$0.17
AU$0.40
+142.4%
8.8%AU$0.45AU$0.35AU$0.174
Jun ’24AU$0.17
AU$0.42
+157.6%
17.6%AU$0.55AU$0.35AU$0.194
May ’24AU$0.17
AU$0.47
+171.4%
15.8%AU$0.55AU$0.40AU$0.212
Apr ’24AU$0.17
AU$0.46
+178.8%
19.6%AU$0.55AU$0.37AU$0.222
Mar ’24AU$0.17
AU$0.46
+178.8%
19.6%AU$0.55AU$0.37AU$0.192
Feb ’24AU$0.18
AU$0.39
+108.1%
3.9%AU$0.40AU$0.37AU$0.212
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 5 Analysts
AU$0.56
Fair Value
53.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
5
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/03 20:26
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/31 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Predictive Discovery Limited is covered by 11 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Richard KnightsBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Glyn LawcockBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
April LowisBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited