Falcon Metals Valuation

Is FAL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Book vs Peers
Price-To-Book vs Industry
Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FAL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate FAL's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate FAL's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FAL?

Key metric: As FAL is unprofitable and pre-revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for FAL. This is calculated by dividing FAL's market cap by their current book value.
What is FAL's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio	2x
Book	AU$12.22m
Market Cap	AU$23.90m

FAL key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	n/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	-1.9x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does FAL's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for FAL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PB	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	3.1x
FXG Felix Gold	1.2x	n/a	AU$23.7m
ANL Amani Gold	0.6x	n/a	AU$25.1m
KRM Kingsrose Mining	0.7x	n/a	AU$24.9m
AQI Alicanto Minerals	10x	n/a	AU$25.4m
FAL Falcon Metals	2x	n/a	AU$23.9m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: FAL is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (2x) compared to the peer average (4x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does FAL's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Metals and Mining Industry?

16 Companies	Price / Book	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
HAS Hastings Technology Metals	0.2x	12.6%	US$32.32m
JRV Jervois Global	0.1x	n/a	US$19.32m
ADN Andromeda Metals	0.2x	25.5%	US$15.59m
CTO Citigold	0.1x	n/a	US$7.80m

16 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: FAL is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (2x) compared to the Australian Metals and Mining industry average (1.1x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FAL's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FAL PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio	2x
Fair PB Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate FAL's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

Discover undervalued companies

Capral

AU$156.6m

Manufactures, markets, and distributes fabricated and semi-fabricated aluminum related products in Australia.

CAA

AU$9.08

-0.9%

4.5%

Aurelia Metals

AU$287.6m

Engages in the exploration and production of mineral properties in Australia.

AMI

AU$0.17

60.5%

Nufarm

AU$1.5b

Develops, manufactures, and sells crop protection solutions and seed technologies in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, North America, and the Asia Pacific.

NUF

AU$4.03

0.2%

-13.5%