Australian Potash Valuation

Is APC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of APC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate APC's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate APC's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for APC?

Key metric: As APC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for APC. This is calculated by dividing APC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is APC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	8.5x
Earnings	AU$477.45k
Market Cap	AU$4.07m

APC key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	n/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	15.3x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does APC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for APC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	17x
GAL Galileo Mining	7x	n/a	AU$23.7m
NML Navarre Minerals	4x	n/a	AU$10.8m
AQD AusQuest	45.2x	n/a	AU$11.6m
HAV Havilah Resources	11.9x	n/a	AU$66.2m
APC Australian Potash	8.5x	n/a	AU$4.1m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: APC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.5x) compared to the peer average (17x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does APC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Metals and Mining Industry?

9 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
KCN Kingsgate Consolidated	1.8x	-13.3%	US$235.13m
GRR Grange Resources	2.7x	n/a	US$184.10m
RHI Red Hill Minerals	1.8x	n/a	US$183.20m
PTN Patronus Resources	2.3x	n/a	US$64.85m

9 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: APC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.5x) compared to the Australian Metals and Mining industry average (11.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is APC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

APC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	8.5x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate APC's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

Discover undervalued companies

Aurelia Metals

AU$296.0m

Engages in the exploration and production of mineral properties in Australia.

AMI

AU$0.17

66.7%

Incitec Pivot

AU$6.0b

Manufactures and distributes industrial explosives, industrial chemicals, and fertilizers in Australia and the United State.

IPL

AU$3.18

-0.5%

12.6%

Capral

AU$165.0m

Manufactures, markets, and distributes fabricated and semi-fabricated aluminum related products in Australia.

CAA

AU$9.28

6.7%