Stock Analysis

ASX Stocks With Estimated Discounts Of Up To 49.5% Below Intrinsic Value

The Australian market has shown resilience, with the XJO climbing back to 8,600 points despite inflation ticking up to 3.8% and mixed performances across sectors like materials and IT. In this environment, identifying undervalued stocks can be a strategic move for investors seeking potential growth opportunities amid fluctuating economic indicators and sector performances.

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Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Australia

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Symal Group (ASX:SYL)A$2.47A$4.6346.6%
SenSen Networks (ASX:SNS)A$0.098A$0.1948.1%
NRW Holdings (ASX:NWH)A$5.12A$8.9542.8%
Light & Wonder (ASX:LNW)A$143.56A$244.9641.4%
LGI (ASX:LGI)A$4.20A$7.7745.9%
Immutep (ASX:IMM)A$0.27A$0.4843.7%
Guzman y Gomez (ASX:GYG)A$22.87A$39.3541.9%
Genesis Minerals (ASX:GMD)A$6.62A$13.1049.5%
Cromwell Property Group (ASX:CMW)A$0.465A$0.8545.4%
Airtasker (ASX:ART)A$0.34A$0.6849.6%

Click here to see the full list of 35 stocks from our Undervalued ASX Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Underneath we present a selection of stocks filtered out by our screen.

Genesis Minerals (ASX:GMD)

Overview: Genesis Minerals Limited is involved in gold mining, project development, and exploration activities in Western Australia with a market capitalization of A$7.56 billion.

Operations: The company generates revenue of A$920.14 million from its activities in mineral production, exploration, and development in Western Australia.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 49.5%

Genesis Minerals appears undervalued, trading at A$6.62, below its estimated fair value of A$13.1. Forecasted revenue growth of 14.6% annually surpasses the Australian market's 5.9%. Although earnings growth is not significant, it is expected to outpace the market at 19.9% per year compared to 12%. Despite recent index changes, including addition to S&P/ASX 100 and removal from Small Ordinaries Index, Genesis remains a compelling opportunity based on cash flow valuation metrics.

ASX:GMD Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2025
ASX:GMD Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2025

Vault Minerals (ASX:VAU)

Overview: Vault Minerals Limited is involved in the exploration, mine development, and operations for gold and gold/copper concentrate in Australia and Canada, with a market cap of A$4.85 billion.

Operations: Vault Minerals Limited generates revenue from its operations at Deflector (A$477.79 million), Sugar Zone (A$0.23 million), Mount Monger (A$287.58 million), and Leonora Operation (A$666.50 million).

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 34.2%

Vault Minerals, trading at A$4.74, is significantly undervalued with an estimated fair value of A$7.2. Its earnings are projected to grow 16.2% annually, outpacing the Australian market's 12%, while revenue growth is forecasted at 9% per year. Recent events include a stock split and board changes, with Ian Macpherson stepping down as Director and Chair of the Audit Committee, succeeded by Kelvin Flynn.

ASX:VAU Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2025
ASX:VAU Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2025

Web Travel Group (ASX:WEB)

Overview: Web Travel Group Limited offers online travel booking services across Australia, the United Arab Emirates, the United Kingdom, and other international markets with a market cap of A$1.63 billion.

Operations: Web Travel Group Limited generates revenue from its Business to Business Travel (B2B) segment, amounting to A$362.60 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 31%

Web Travel Group, with its stock at A$4.52, is trading over 20% below its estimated fair value of A$6.55. Despite a significant drop in net income to A$26.9 million for the half year ended September 30, 2025, revenue grew to A$204.6 million from A$170.4 million a year ago. Earnings are expected to grow significantly at 43.34% annually over the next three years, surpassing the broader Australian market's growth rate of 12%.

ASX:WEB Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2025
ASX:WEB Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2025

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About ASX:GMD

Genesis Minerals

Engages in the gold mining, project development and exploration activities in Western Australia.

Solid track record with excellent balance sheet.

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