Sovereign Metals Limited

ASX:SVM Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$287.1m

Sovereign Metals Valuation

Is SVM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SVM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate SVM's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate SVM's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SVM?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

SVM key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenuen/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDA-16.6x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does SVM's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for SVM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.1x
WR1 Winsome Resources
3xn/aAU$255.7m
BDM Burgundy Diamond Mines
1.1x-1.5%AU$262.9m
ORR OreCorp
11.2x58.8%AU$267.5m
MAU Magnetic Resources
69xn/aAU$273.5m
SVM Sovereign Metals
6.5x-50.7%AU$287.1m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: SVM is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (6.5x) compared to the peer average (21.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SVM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Metals and Mining Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPB048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: SVM is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (6.5x) compared to the Australian Metals and Mining industry average (1.1x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SVM's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SVM PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio6.5x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate SVM's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SVM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$0.51
AU$1.16
+126.5%
34.2%AU$1.55AU$0.76n/a2
Apr ’25AU$0.49
AU$1.16
+135.7%
34.2%AU$1.55AU$0.76n/a2
Feb ’25AU$0.43
AU$1.57
+265.1%
1.3%AU$1.59AU$1.55n/a2
Jan ’25AU$0.46
AU$1.57
+241.3%
1.3%AU$1.59AU$1.55n/a2
Dec ’24AU$0.43
AU$1.57
+265.1%
1.3%AU$1.59AU$1.55n/a2
Nov ’24AU$0.45
AU$1.57
+248.9%
1.3%AU$1.59AU$1.55n/a2
Oct ’24AU$0.41
AU$1.57
+282.9%
1.3%AU$1.59AU$1.55n/a2
Sep ’24AU$0.45
AU$1.57
+248.9%
1.3%AU$1.59AU$1.55n/a2
Aug ’24AU$0.52
AU$1.57
+204.9%
1.3%AU$1.59AU$1.55n/a2
Jul ’24AU$0.47
AU$1.62
+243.6%
2.2%AU$1.65AU$1.58n/a2
Jun ’24AU$0.41
AU$1.62
+289.2%
2.2%AU$1.65AU$1.58n/a2
May ’24AU$0.44
AU$1.62
+267.0%
2.2%AU$1.65AU$1.58n/a2
Apr ’24AU$0.44
AU$1.62
+267.0%
2.2%AU$1.65AU$1.58AU$0.492
Mar ’24AU$0.51
AU$1.58
+211.9%
4.8%AU$1.65AU$1.50AU$0.452
Feb ’24AU$0.52
AU$1.58
+205.8%
4.8%AU$1.65AU$1.50AU$0.432
Jan ’24AU$0.40
AU$1.59
+302.5%
3.8%AU$1.65AU$1.53AU$0.462
Dec ’23AU$0.45
AU$1.59
+257.3%
3.8%AU$1.65AU$1.53AU$0.432
Nov ’23AU$0.39
AU$1.59
+307.7%
3.8%AU$1.65AU$1.53AU$0.452
Oct ’23AU$0.38
AU$1.51
+301.3%
9.6%AU$1.65AU$1.36AU$0.412

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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