ASX:SVM - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
6/30/2028	122	-87	N/A	-18	1
6/30/2027	N/A	-10	N/A	-10	2
6/30/2026	N/A	-18	N/A	-28	2
12/31/2025	N/A	-30	-37	-37	N/A
9/30/2025	N/A	-35	-36	-35	N/A
6/30/2025	N/A	-40	-34	-33	N/A
3/31/2025	N/A	-36	-29	-28	N/A
12/31/2024	N/A	-31	-25	-23	N/A
9/30/2024	N/A	-25	-20	-18	N/A
6/30/2024	N/A	-19	-14	-14	N/A
3/31/2024	N/A	-11	-13	-13	N/A
12/31/2023	N/A	-4	-12	-12	N/A
9/30/2023	N/A	-5	-13	-12	N/A
6/30/2023	N/A	-6	-13	-13	N/A
3/31/2023	N/A	-10	-13	-13	N/A
12/31/2022	N/A	-14	-12	-12	N/A
9/30/2022	N/A	-14	-11	-11	N/A
6/30/2022	N/A	-14	-10	-10	N/A
3/31/2022	N/A	-12	-9	-9	N/A
12/31/2021	N/A	-11	-8	-7	N/A
9/30/2021	N/A	-8	-6	-6	N/A
6/30/2021	N/A	-5	-4	-4	N/A
3/31/2021	N/A	-4	-4	-4	N/A
12/31/2020	N/A	-3	-3	-3	N/A
9/30/2020	N/A	-3	-4	-4	N/A
6/30/2020	N/A	-3	-4	-4	N/A
3/31/2020	N/A	-4	-4	-4	N/A
12/31/2019	N/A	-5	-5	-5	N/A
9/30/2019	N/A	-6	N/A	-5	N/A
6/30/2019	N/A	-6	N/A	-5	N/A
3/31/2019	N/A	-6	N/A	-5	N/A
12/31/2018	N/A	-6	N/A	-5	N/A
9/30/2018	N/A	-6	N/A	-5	N/A
6/30/2018	N/A	-5	N/A	-4	N/A
3/31/2018	0	-5	N/A	-4	N/A
12/31/2017	0	-4	N/A	-3	N/A
9/30/2017	0	-4	N/A	-3	N/A
6/30/2017	0	-4	N/A	-3	N/A
3/31/2017	0	-3	N/A	-3	N/A
12/31/2016	0	-3	N/A	-2	N/A
9/30/2016	0	-2	N/A	-2	N/A
6/30/2016	0	-2	N/A	-1	N/A
3/31/2016	0	-2	N/A	-1	N/A
12/31/2015	0	-2	N/A	-2	N/A
9/30/2015	0	-3	N/A	-2	N/A
6/30/2015	0	-4	N/A	-3	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: SVM is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Earnings vs Market: SVM is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

High Growth Earnings: SVM is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: SVM is forecast to have no revenue next year.

High Growth Revenue: SVM is forecast to have no revenue next year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: SVM is forecast to be unprofitable in 3 years.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2026/06/02 08:51
End of Day Share Price	2026/06/02 00:00
Earnings	2025/12/31
Annual Earnings	2025/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Sovereign Metals Limited is covered by 6 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Austin Yun	Macquarie Research
Michael Bentley	MST Financial Services Pty Limited
Christopher Drew	MST Financial Services Pty Limited

Sovereign Metals Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target decreased by 19% to AU$1.20

No longer forecast to breakeven

Price target decreased by 8.8% to AU$1.20

Forecast to breakeven in 2028

Price target decreased by 8.5% to AU$1.40

Recent updates

Price target decreased by 19% to AU$1.20

No longer forecast to breakeven

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Sovereign Metals Limited Announces Definitive Feasibility Study Results for Kasiya Rutile-Graphite Project

Sovereign Metals Limited Announces Updated Mineral Resource Estimate for Kasiya Rutile-Graphite Project

New minor risk - Profitability

Price target decreased by 8.8% to AU$1.20

Is Sovereign Metals (ASX:SVM) In A Good Position To Deliver On Growth Plans?

Sovereign Metals Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 19, 2025

New minor risk - Financial data availability

Sovereign Metals Limited Announces Exceptional First-Year Results from Its Rehabilitation Trials At the Kasiya Rutile-Graphite Project in Malawi

Sovereign Metals Limited Announces Confirmation of the Mining Method and Completion of the Mining Fleet Design for the Kasiya Rutile-Graphite Project in Malawi

Sovereign Metals Limited Provides Its Quarterly Report for the Period Ended 30 June 2025 Including Advances Made At Its Kasiya Rutile-Graphite Project (Kasiya or the Project) in Malawi

Sovereign Metals Limited Announces Completion of Comprehensive Feasibility-Level Geotechnical Fieldwork Programs At Its Kasiya Rutile Graphite Project in Malawi

Forecast to breakeven in 2028

Sovereign Metals Limited Announces Several Geotechnical Drilling Programs Now Underway At Its Kasiya Rutile Graphite Project in Malawi

Sovereign Metals Limited has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of AUD 40 million.

New major risk - Financial position

Price target decreased by 8.5% to AU$1.40

Sovereign Metals Limited Announces Superflake Graphite Project Delivers $482 Million Pre-Feasibility Study for Orom-Cross Graphite Project

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Sovereign Metals Limited Completes the Mining Trials Stage of Its Pilot Mining and Land Rehabilitation Program At the Kasiya Rutile-Graphite Project in Malawi

Sovereign Metals Limited Completes Infill Drilling Program at its Kasiya Rutile-Graphite Project

Non-Executive Director recently bought AU$283k worth of stock

Sovereign Metals Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 22, 2024

Sovereign Metals Limited has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of AUD 41.288618 million.

New major risk - Financial position

Sovereign Metals Limited Announces Update on the Downstream Testwork

Sovereign Metals Limited Commences Hydraulic Mining Trial At Its Kasiya Rutile-Graphite Project (Kasiya or Project) in Malawi as Part of the Ongoing Pilot Mining and Land Rehabilitation Program

New major risk - Financial position

Price target decreased by 29% to AU$1.15

Sovereign Metals Limited Announces Infill Drilling Program to Upgrade Kasiya Resource

Sovereign Metals Limited Announces Dry Mining Trial Completes at Pilot Phase Test Pit

Sovereign Metals Limited Announces Pilot Phase Site Construction At the Kasiya Rutile-Graphite Project on Schedule

We Think Sovereign Metals (ASX:SVM) Can Easily Afford To Drive Business Growth

Sovereign Metals Limited Announces Downstream Testwork Demonstrates High Quality Graphite for Lithium-Ion Battery Sector

Sovereign Metals Limited Announces the Results of Graphite Testwork Completed at Multiple Independent Laboratories in Australia, Canada and South Africa

Sovereign Metals Limited Announces Follow-Up Drilling Initate North of Kasiya Resource Area

Price target decreased by 29% to AU$1.16

No longer forecast to breakeven

Sovereign Metals Limited Reports Southern Extensions to the Mineralised Area At Kasiya

No longer forecast to breakeven

Sovereign Metals Limited Appoints Mr. Frank Eagar as Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer

Sovereign Metals Limited Announces Executive Changes

Sovereign Metals Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 24, 2023

Forecast to breakeven in 2026

Here's Why We're Watching Sovereign Metals' (ASX:SVM) Cash Burn Situation

Sovereign Metals Limited Reports Recent Outcomes of Downstream Testwork on Kasiya's Graphite Co- Product

Sovereign Metals Limited, Annual General Meeting, Mar 17, 2023

Sovereign Metals Limited Reports Further Results for 98 AC Holes and 247 PT Holes from the Kasiya Rutile Project (Kasiya)

Companies Like Sovereign Metals (ASX:SVM) Are In A Position To Invest In Growth

No independent directors

Sovereign Metals Limited Expands Scoping Study Results

Sovereign Metals Limited Reports Further Significant Results for 61 AC Holes from the Kasiya Rutile Project

We Think Sovereign Metals (ASX:SVM) Needs To Drive Business Growth Carefully

Sovereign Metals Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 18, 2022

Price target increased to AU$1.51

Sovereign Metals Limited Reports First Results from its First Half 2022 AC Drilling Program at the Kasiya Rutile Project

Sovereign Metals Limited Announces the Results of the Expanded Scoping Study for Kasiya Rutile Project in Malawi

Sovereign Metals Limited Reports Analysis of Kasiya Rutile Project's Graphite Co-Product

Sovereign Metals Limited Announces the Commencement of Its Pre-Feasibility Study (PFS) Drilling Program Across the Kasiya Rutile Project (Kasiya)

Will Sovereign Metals (ASX:SVM) Spend Its Cash Wisely?

Price target increased to AU$0.93

No independent directors

Sovereign Metals Limited Announces Updated Mineral Resource Estimate (Mre) for Kasiya Confirming It as A Tier 1 Natural Rutile Deposit

Sovereign Metals Limited Announces Board Appointments

Here's Why We're Not Too Worried About Sovereign Metals' (ASX:SVM) Cash Burn Situation

Sovereign Metals Limited Reports Results from Its Recent Infill Core Drilling Program At Kasiya, Large, High-Grade Rutile Deposit in Malawi

We Think Sovereign Metals (ASX:SVM) Needs To Drive Business Growth Carefully

Sovereign Metals Limited Reports Further Drilling Results from the Recently Discovered Nsaru Rutile Deposit Within the Malawi Rutile Province