Stock Analysis

Little Excitement Around Savannah Goldfields Limited's (ASX:SVG) Revenues As Shares Take 29% Pounding

ASX:SVG
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Savannah Goldfields Limited (ASX:SVG) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 29% share price drop in the last month. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 80% share price decline.

Following the heavy fall in price, Savannah Goldfields may be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x, since almost half of all companies in the Metals and Mining industry in Australia have P/S ratios greater than 77.4x and even P/S higher than 528x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Savannah Goldfields

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:SVG Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 18th 2024

What Does Savannah Goldfields' Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Savannah Goldfields as its revenue has been rising very briskly. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Savannah Goldfields will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Savannah Goldfields?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Savannah Goldfields' to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 68%. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year revenue growth being relatively non-existent overall. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 29% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this information, we can see why Savannah Goldfields is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.

The Final Word

Having almost fallen off a cliff, Savannah Goldfields' share price has pulled its P/S way down as well. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

In line with expectations, Savannah Goldfields maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Plus, you should also learn about these 4 warning signs we've spotted with Savannah Goldfields (including 3 which are concerning).

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Savannah Goldfields, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.