Stock Analysis

Stanmore Resources (ASX:SMR) Is Down 11.2% After Posting Net Loss and Revenue Decline - What's Changed

  • Stanmore Resources reported its half-year financial results for the period ended June 30, 2025, posting revenue of US$872.2 million and a net loss of US$50.5 million compared to net income in the previous year.
  • This swing from profit to loss, alongside a significant year-on-year revenue drop, highlights operational and market headwinds impacting the business during the period.
  • We'll explore how this financial downturn, marked by a shift to a net loss, impacts Stanmore Resources' investment narrative and outlook.

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Stanmore Resources Investment Narrative Recap

To be a shareholder in Stanmore Resources, you need confidence in the company’s ability to ride out commodity price cycles and execute operational improvements even under industry pressure. The latest half-year results, marked by a swing to net loss and a double-digit revenue drop, put the spotlight on price volatility and global steel demand as the most immediate catalyst and risk, though these results alone don’t materially change either in the short term.

The drop from the S&P/ASX 200 Index in June 2025 stands out as highly relevant, as it reflects recent financial pressures and may affect trading liquidity, but does not fundamentally alter the importance of coal pricing or progress on growth projects as ongoing drivers for Stanmore’s outlook. The next few quarters will show whether operational adjustments and potential market recovery can help offset current weaknesses, especially with regards to...

Read the full narrative on Stanmore Resources (it's free!)

Stanmore Resources is expected to generate $2.1 billion in revenue and $335.3 million in earnings by 2028. This outlook assumes a 4.8% annual revenue decline and a $143.8 million increase in earnings from the current level of $191.5 million.

Uncover how Stanmore Resources' forecasts yield a A$2.82 fair value, a 37% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

ASX:SMR Community Fair Values as at Aug 2025
ASX:SMR Community Fair Values as at Aug 2025

Simply Wall St Community estimates for Stanmore’s fair value range from A$2.82 to A$5.46 across two individual forecasts. Yet, with recent results underscoring persistent coal price risk, you should explore several possible views on where the business could head from here.

Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Stanmore Resources - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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