Stock Analysis

Sims' (ASX:SGM) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

ASX:SGM
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Sims Limited (ASX:SGM) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 19th of October to A$0.50. Despite this raise, the dividend yield of 6.8% is only a modest boost to shareholder returns.

See our latest analysis for Sims

Sims' Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

If it is predictable over a long period, even low dividend yields can be attractive. However, Sims' earnings easily cover the dividend. This means that most of its earnings are being retained to grow the business.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to fall by 55.5%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could be 70%, which we consider to be quite comfortable, with most of the company's earnings left over to grow the business in the future.

historic-dividend
ASX:SGM Historic Dividend September 2nd 2022

Dividend Volatility

While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2012, the annual payment back then was A$0.45, compared to the most recent full-year payment of A$1.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 8.3% over that duration. We like to see dividends have grown at a reasonable rate, but with at least one substantial cut in the payments, we're not certain this dividend stock would be ideal for someone intending to live on the income.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. It's encouraging to see that Sims has been growing its earnings per share at 25% a year over the past five years. Earnings have been growing rapidly, and with a low payout ratio we think that the company could turn out to be a great dividend stock.

Sims Looks Like A Great Dividend Stock

In summary, it is always positive to see the dividend being increased, and we are particularly pleased with its overall sustainability. The company is generating plenty of cash, and the earnings also quite easily cover the distributions. However, it is worth noting that the earnings are expected to fall over the next year, which may not change the long term outlook, but could affect the dividend payment in the next 12 months. All in all, this checks a lot of the boxes we look for when choosing an income stock.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Just as an example, we've come across 2 warning signs for Sims you should be aware of, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.