Just because a business does not make any money, does not mean that the stock will go down. For example, although Amazon.com made losses for many years after listing, if you had bought and held the shares since 1999, you would have made a fortune. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.
So, the natural question for MetalsTech (ASX:MTC) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.
Check out our latest analysis for MetalsTech
SWOT Analysis for MetalsTech
- Currently debt free.
- Shareholders have been diluted in the past year.
- MTC's financial characteristics indicate limited near-term opportunities for shareholders.
- Lack of analyst coverage makes it difficult to determine MTC's earnings prospects.
- Has less than 3 years of cash runway based on current free cash flow.
Does MetalsTech Have A Long Cash Runway?
A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. As at December 2022, MetalsTech had cash of AU$3.1m and no debt. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through AU$4.5m. Therefore, from December 2022 it had roughly 8 months of cash runway. That's quite a short cash runway, indicating the company must either reduce its annual cash burn or replenish its cash. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.
Can MetalsTech Raise More Cash Easily?
Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).
MetalsTech has a market capitalisation of AU$42m and burnt through AU$4.5m last year, which is 11% of the company's market value. Given that situation, it's fair to say the company wouldn't have much trouble raising more cash for growth, but shareholders would be somewhat diluted.
Is MetalsTech's Cash Burn A Worry?
Given it's an early stage company, we don't have a lot of data with which to judge MetalsTech's cash burn. We would undoubtedly be more comfortable if it had reported some operating revenue. But generally speaking, we can say that early stage companies like MetalsTech are generally higher risk than well established businesses. To us, there is clearly a substantial risk that that the company will have to raise costly funding, making it very hard to quantify the potential upside. On another note, we conducted an in-depth investigation of the company, and identified 6 warning signs for MetalsTech (3 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:MTC
Medium-low with imperfect balance sheet.