Stock Analysis

Is Mitchell Services (ASX:MSV) Using Too Much Debt?

ASX:MSV
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Mitchell Services Limited (ASX:MSV) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Mitchell Services

How Much Debt Does Mitchell Services Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Mitchell Services had AU$7.60m of debt in December 2022, down from AU$9.80m, one year before. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:MSV Debt to Equity History April 28th 2023

A Look At Mitchell Services' Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Mitchell Services had liabilities of AU$48.3m due within 12 months, and liabilities of AU$25.2m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of AU$41.5k as well as receivables valued at AU$34.9m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling AU$38.5m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Mitchell Services has a market capitalization of AU$77.0m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Mitchell Services can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Over 12 months, Mitchell Services reported revenue of AU$231m, which is a gain of 19%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Mitchell Services produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost AU$4.3m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. We would feel better if it turned its trailing twelve month loss of AU$890k into a profit. In the meantime, we consider the stock very risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Mitchell Services is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.