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MACA Valuation

Is MLD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MLD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MLD (A$1.06) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$1.86)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MLD is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MLD?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

MLD key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA3.8x
PEG Ratio0.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MLD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MLD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.7x
DDH DDH1
7.8x9.6%AU$331.8m
GNG GR Engineering Services
13xn/aAU$375.5m
MAH Macmahon Holdings
7.4x7.6%AU$525.4m
BLY Boart Longyear Group
42.4xn/aAU$861.1m
MLD MACA
8.2x13.6%AU$365.0m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MLD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.2x) compared to the peer average (7.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MLD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Metals and Mining Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MLD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.2x) compared to the Australian Metals and Mining industry average (9.7x)


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MLD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MLD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.2x
Fair PE Ratio13.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MLD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MLD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
AU$1.03
0%
0.5%AU$1.03AU$1.02n/a2
Apr ’25n/a
AU$1.03
0%
0.5%AU$1.03AU$1.02n/a2
Mar ’25n/a
AU$1.03
0%
0.5%AU$1.03AU$1.02n/a2
Feb ’25n/a
AU$1.03
0%
0.5%AU$1.03AU$1.02n/a2
Jan ’25n/a
AU$1.03
0%
0.5%AU$1.03AU$1.02n/a2
Dec ’24n/a
AU$1.03
0%
0.5%AU$1.03AU$1.02n/a2
Nov ’24n/a
AU$1.03
0%
0.5%AU$1.03AU$1.02n/a2
Oct ’24n/a
AU$1.03
0%
0.5%AU$1.03AU$1.02n/a2
Sep ’24n/a
AU$1.03
0%
0.5%AU$1.03AU$1.02n/a2
Aug ’24n/a
AU$1.03
0%
0.5%AU$1.03AU$1.02n/a2
Jul ’24n/a
AU$1.03
0%
0.5%AU$1.03AU$1.02n/a2
Jun ’24n/a
AU$1.03
0%
0.5%AU$1.03AU$1.02n/a2
May ’24n/a
AU$1.03
0%
0.5%AU$1.03AU$1.02n/a2
Apr ’24n/a
AU$1.03
0%
0.5%AU$1.03AU$1.02n/a2
Mar ’24n/a
AU$1.03
0%
0.5%AU$1.03AU$1.02n/a2
Feb ’24n/a
AU$1.03
0%
0.5%AU$1.03AU$1.02n/a2
Jan ’24n/a
AU$1.03
0%
0.5%AU$1.03AU$1.02n/a2
Dec ’23n/a
AU$1.03
0%
0.5%AU$1.03AU$1.02n/a2
Nov ’23n/a
AU$1.03
0%
0.5%AU$1.03AU$1.02n/a2
Oct ’23AU$1.08
AU$1.03
-4.7%
0.5%AU$1.03AU$1.02n/a2
Sep ’23AU$1.07
AU$1.03
-3.8%
0.5%AU$1.03AU$1.02n/a2
Aug ’23AU$1.00
AU$1.05
+4.5%
1.4%AU$1.06AU$1.03n/a2
Jul ’23AU$0.68
AU$1.14
+68.9%
7.0%AU$1.22AU$1.06n/a2
Jun ’23AU$0.72
AU$1.14
+58.3%
7.0%AU$1.22AU$1.06n/a2
May ’23AU$0.81
AU$1.14
+40.7%
7.0%AU$1.22AU$1.06n/a2

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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