Lynas Rare Earths Limited

ASX:LYC Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$5.9b

Lynas Rare Earths Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

Lynas Rare Earths is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 43.1% and 32.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 42.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 15.7% in 3 years.

Key information

43.1%

Earnings growth rate

42.8%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth10.5%
Revenue growth rate32.2%
Future return on equity15.7%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated20 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

We Discuss Why Lynas Rare Earths Limited's (ASX:LYC) CEO Compensation May Be Closely Reviewed

Nov 20
We Discuss Why Lynas Rare Earths Limited's (ASX:LYC) CEO Compensation May Be Closely Reviewed

There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About Lynas Rare Earths' (ASX:LYC) Returns On Capital

Sep 26
There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About Lynas Rare Earths' (ASX:LYC) Returns On Capital

Lynas Rare Earths Limited's (ASX:LYC) Price In Tune With Earnings

Jul 12
Lynas Rare Earths Limited's (ASX:LYC) Price In Tune With Earnings

Is Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) A Risky Investment?

Jun 19
Is Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) A Risky Investment?

Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) Hasn't Managed To Accelerate Its Returns

May 01
Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) Hasn't Managed To Accelerate Its Returns

Here's Why Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Mar 14
Here's Why Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Investors Continue Waiting On Sidelines For Lynas Rare Earths Limited (ASX:LYC)

Jan 31
Investors Continue Waiting On Sidelines For Lynas Rare Earths Limited (ASX:LYC)

Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) Has Some Way To Go To Become A Multi-Bagger

Dec 27
Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) Has Some Way To Go To Become A Multi-Bagger

The Lynas Rare Earths Limited (ASX:LYC) Analysts Have Been Trimming Their Sales Forecasts

Oct 23
The Lynas Rare Earths Limited (ASX:LYC) Analysts Have Been Trimming Their Sales Forecasts

Is Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) Using Too Much Debt?

Sep 16
Is Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) Using Too Much Debt?

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Lynas Rare Earths Limited (ASX:LYC)

Jul 26
Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Lynas Rare Earths Limited (ASX:LYC)

Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) Is Very Good At Capital Allocation

Jul 05
Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) Is Very Good At Capital Allocation

Here's Why We Think Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) Might Deserve Your Attention Today

Jun 06
Here's Why We Think Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) Might Deserve Your Attention Today

Calculating The Fair Value Of Lynas Rare Earths Limited (ASX:LYC)

Apr 26
Calculating The Fair Value Of Lynas Rare Earths Limited (ASX:LYC)

Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) Seems To Use Debt Rather Sparingly

Apr 08
Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) Seems To Use Debt Rather Sparingly

Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) Is Investing Its Capital With Increasing Efficiency

Mar 23
Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) Is Investing Its Capital With Increasing Efficiency

Here's Why Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors

Feb 22
Here's Why Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors

Calculating The Fair Value Of Lynas Rare Earths Limited (ASX:LYC)

Jan 25
Calculating The Fair Value Of Lynas Rare Earths Limited (ASX:LYC)

Under The Bonnet, Lynas Rare Earths' (ASX:LYC) Returns Look Impressive

Dec 15
Under The Bonnet, Lynas Rare Earths' (ASX:LYC) Returns Look Impressive

The Compensation For Lynas Rare Earths Limited's (ASX:LYC) CEO Looks Deserved And Here's Why

Nov 22
The Compensation For Lynas Rare Earths Limited's (ASX:LYC) CEO Looks Deserved And Here's Why

Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) Could Easily Take On More Debt

Sep 17
Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) Could Easily Take On More Debt

Why We Like The Returns At Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC)

Sep 02
Why We Like The Returns At Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC)

With EPS Growth And More, Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) Makes An Interesting Case

Aug 17
With EPS Growth And More, Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) Makes An Interesting Case

Estimating The Fair Value Of Lynas Rare Earths Limited (ASX:LYC)

Jun 14
Estimating The Fair Value Of Lynas Rare Earths Limited (ASX:LYC)

Investors Will Want Lynas Rare Earths' (ASX:LYC) Growth In ROCE To Persist

May 27
Investors Will Want Lynas Rare Earths' (ASX:LYC) Growth In ROCE To Persist

Does Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Mar 25
Does Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Analysts Are Betting On Lynas Rare Earths Limited (ASX:LYC) With A Big Upgrade This Week

Mar 10
Analysts Are Betting On Lynas Rare Earths Limited (ASX:LYC) With A Big Upgrade This Week

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Lynas Rare Earths Limited (ASX:LYC)

Feb 27
A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Lynas Rare Earths Limited (ASX:LYC)

Returns On Capital Are Showing Encouraging Signs At Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC)

Feb 07
Returns On Capital Are Showing Encouraging Signs At Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC)

Lynas Rare Earths Limited's (ASX:LYC) CEO Looks Like They Deserve Their Pay Packet

Nov 22
Lynas Rare Earths Limited's (ASX:LYC) CEO Looks Like They Deserve Their Pay Packet

Lynas Rare Earths' (ASX:LYC) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher

Oct 31
Lynas Rare Earths' (ASX:LYC) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher

Lynas Rare Earths Limited (ASX:LYC) Shares Could Be 24% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Oct 05
Lynas Rare Earths Limited (ASX:LYC) Shares Could Be 24% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Lynas Rare Earths' (ASX:LYC) Solid Profits Have Weak Fundamentals

Sep 03
Lynas Rare Earths' (ASX:LYC) Solid Profits Have Weak Fundamentals

Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) Is Doing The Right Things To Multiply Its Share Price

Jul 19
Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) Is Doing The Right Things To Multiply Its Share Price

Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

May 23
Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ASX:LYC - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
6/30/20271,59855771568813
6/30/20261,21333746049814
6/30/2025727169-28820714
6/30/202446385-54435N/A
3/31/2024534142-523118N/A
12/31/2023604200-502200N/A
9/30/2023672255-356294N/A
6/30/2023739311-209387N/A
3/31/202385742210490N/A
12/31/2022975534230592N/A
9/30/2022948537252526N/A
6/30/2022920541274460N/A
3/31/2022761407218356N/A
12/31/2021601273163251N/A
9/30/2021545215169233N/A
6/30/2021489157175215N/A
3/31/20214088785116N/A
12/31/202032717-416N/A
9/30/2020316-1824N/A
6/30/2020305-192032N/A
3/31/2020334244867N/A
12/31/20193646876102N/A
9/30/20193647674103N/A
6/30/20193648372104N/A
3/31/2019358526092N/A
12/31/2018353214779N/A
9/30/2018364377199N/A
6/30/20183745394118N/A
3/31/201835939N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201734325N/A107N/A
9/30/201730012N/A71N/A
6/30/2017257-1N/A34N/A
3/31/2017235-2N/AN/AN/A
12/31/2016212-3N/A4N/A
9/30/2016202-49N/A4N/A
6/30/2016191-94N/A4N/A
3/31/2016182-88N/A-3N/A
12/31/2015173-81N/A-9N/A
9/30/2015159-100N/A-21N/A
6/30/2015145-119N/A-32N/A
3/31/2015130-254N/A-48N/A
12/31/2014115-390N/A-65N/A
9/30/201490-368N/A-84N/A
6/30/201465-345N/A-103N/A
3/31/201440-246N/A-105N/A
12/31/201316-146N/A-107N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: LYC's forecast earnings growth (43.1% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: LYC's earnings (43.1% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (12.5% per year).

High Growth Earnings: LYC's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: LYC's revenue (32.2% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (5.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: LYC's revenue (32.2% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: LYC's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (15.7%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/21 04:15
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Lynas Rare Earths Limited is covered by 34 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Michael HarrowellAPP Securities Pty Ltd.
Russell WrightBarclay Pearce Capital Pty Limited
Daniel MorganBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited