Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Jervois Global Limited (ASX:JRV) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Jervois Global
How Much Debt Does Jervois Global Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2021 Jervois Global had AU$211.4m of debt, an increase on AU$9.91m, over one year. However, it does have AU$70.4m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about AU$141.1m.
How Strong Is Jervois Global's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Jervois Global had liabilities of AU$205.5m due within 12 months and liabilities of AU$182.4m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had AU$70.4m in cash and AU$51.5m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling AU$265.9m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Given Jervois Global has a market capitalization of AU$1.46b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Jervois Global can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
In the last year Jervois Global managed to produce its first revenue as a listed company, but given the lack of profit, shareholders will no doubt be hoping to see some strong increases.
Caveat Emptor
Despite the top line growth, Jervois Global still had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at AU$18m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through AU$76m of cash over the last year. So in short it's a really risky stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Jervois Global (2 don't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:JRV
Jervois Global
Engages in the exploration, development, and production of mineral properties.
Slight and slightly overvalued.