Stock Analysis

Iluka Resources' (ASX:ILU) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

ASX:ILU
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Iluka Resources Limited's (ASX:ILU) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to A$0.20 on 30th of March. Even though the dividend went up, the yield is still quite low at only 4.3%.

View our latest analysis for Iluka Resources

Iluka Resources Is Paying Out More Than It Is Earning

It would be nice for the yield to be higher, but we should also check if higher levels of dividend payment would be sustainable. Before making this announcement, Iluka Resources was easily earning enough to cover the dividend. This means that most of its earnings are being retained to grow the business.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to fall by 49.9% over the next year. If the dividend continues along the path it has been on recently, the payout ratio in 12 months could be 161%, which is definitely a bit high to be sustainable going forward.

historic-dividend
ASX:ILU Historic Dividend February 26th 2023

Dividend Volatility

The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of A$0.75 in 2013 to the most recent total annual payment of A$0.45. The dividend has shrunk at around 5.0% a year during that period. Declining dividends isn't generally what we look for as they can indicate that the company is running into some challenges.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. It's encouraging to see that Iluka Resources has been growing its earnings per share at 36% a year over the past five years. Rapid earnings growth and a low payout ratio suggest this company has been effectively reinvesting in its business. Should that continue, this company could have a bright future.

Iluka Resources Looks Like A Great Dividend Stock

Overall, a dividend increase is always good, and we think that Iluka Resources is a strong income stock thanks to its track record and growing earnings. The earnings easily cover the company's distributions, and the company is generating plenty of cash. We should point out that the earnings are expected to fall over the next 12 months, which won't be a problem if this doesn't become a trend, but could cause some turbulence in the next year. All of these factors considered, we think this has solid potential as a dividend stock.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Iluka Resources (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.