Stock Analysis

Is Highfield Resources (ASX:HFR) A Risky Investment?

ASX:HFR
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Highfield Resources Limited (ASX:HFR) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Highfield Resources

How Much Debt Does Highfield Resources Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2023 Highfield Resources had AU$32.7m of debt, an increase on AU$11.3m, over one year. However, it does have AU$14.1m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about AU$18.6m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:HFR Debt to Equity History June 24th 2024

A Look At Highfield Resources' Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Highfield Resources had liabilities of AU$26.8m falling due within a year, and liabilities of AU$33.8m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of AU$14.1m as well as receivables valued at AU$283.1k due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by AU$46.3m.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Highfield Resources has a market capitalization of AU$119.6m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Highfield Resources will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

It seems likely shareholders hope that Highfield Resources can significantly advance the business plan before too long, because it doesn't have any significant revenue at the moment.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Highfield Resources produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost AU$7.1m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through AU$19m of cash over the last year. So in short it's a really risky stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 3 warning signs with Highfield Resources (at least 2 which are potentially serious) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Highfield Resources might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.