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Health Check: How Prudently Does Genesis Resources (ASX:GES) Use Debt?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Genesis Resources Limited (ASX:GES) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Genesis Resources
How Much Debt Does Genesis Resources Carry?
As you can see below, at the end of December 2021, Genesis Resources had AU$9.08m of debt, up from AU$7.47m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has AU$216.7k in cash leading to net debt of about AU$8.87m.
How Strong Is Genesis Resources' Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Genesis Resources had liabilities of AU$12.2m due within 12 months and no liabilities due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had AU$216.7k in cash and AU$20.2k in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling AU$11.9m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of AU$10.2m, we think shareholders really should watch Genesis Resources's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Genesis Resources will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Since Genesis Resources has no significant operating revenue, shareholders probably hope it will develop a valuable new mine before too long.
Caveat Emptor
Not only did Genesis Resources's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost a very considerable AU$1.6m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. Not least because it had negative free cash flow of AU$1.5m over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock to be risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Genesis Resources that you should be aware of.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:GES
Genesis Resources
Engages in the exploration and evaluation of mineral properties in Australia and Macedonia.
Moderate and slightly overvalued.