Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Focus Minerals Limited (ASX:FML) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Focus Minerals
What Is Focus Minerals's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2021 Focus Minerals had AU$20.0m of debt, an increase on none, over one year. However, it does have AU$10.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about AU$9.09m.
How Strong Is Focus Minerals' Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Focus Minerals had liabilities of AU$1.86m falling due within a year, and liabilities of AU$49.5m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had AU$10.9m in cash and AU$196.0k in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling AU$40.3m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of AU$51.2m. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Focus Minerals will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Since Focus Minerals has no significant operating revenue, shareholders probably hope it will develop a valuable new mine before too long.
Caveat Emptor
Not only did Focus Minerals's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). To be specific the EBIT loss came in at AU$4.5m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through AU$16m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 4 warning signs with Focus Minerals (at least 2 which are a bit unpleasant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About ASX:FML
Focus Minerals
Engages in the exploration and development of gold in Western Australia.
Slight and slightly overvalued.