Centaurus Metals Limited

ASX:CTM Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$301.1m

Centaurus Metals Valuation

Is CTM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CTM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CTM (A$0.54) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$3.92)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CTM is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CTM?

Key metric: As CTM is unprofitable and pre-revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for CTM. This is calculated by dividing CTM's market cap by their current book value.
What is CTM's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio10.9x
BookAU$27.59m
Market CapAU$301.11m

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does CTM's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for CTM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average45.7x
NTU Northern Minerals
174.8x-18.91%AU$296.0m
ATR Astron
2.3x12.19%AU$280.5m
VYS Vysarn
3.3x18.59%AU$329.7m
EUR European Lithium
2.3x26.84%AU$274.7m
CTM Centaurus Metals
10.9x87.45%AU$301.1m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: CTM is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (10.9x) compared to the peer average (45.7x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does CTM's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Metals and Mining Industry?

33 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GRR Grange Resources
0.3xn/aUS$217.56m
OMH OM Holdings
0.3x101.00%US$138.55m
WMC Wiluna Mining
0.3xn/aUS$46.24m
ADN Andromeda Metals
0.4x122.55%US$40.35m
CTM 10.9xIndustry Avg. 2.3xNo. of Companies92PB01.63.24.86.48+
33 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: CTM is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (10.9x) compared to the Australian Metals and Mining industry average (2.3x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CTM's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CTM PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio10.9x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate CTM's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CTM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$0.54
AU$0.86
+60.28%
44.70%AU$1.50AU$0.55n/a4
Dec ’26AU$0.43
AU$0.86
+100.58%
44.03%AU$1.50AU$0.55n/a4
Nov ’26AU$0.43
AU$0.86
+100.58%
44.03%AU$1.50AU$0.55n/a4
Oct ’26AU$0.42
AU$0.97
+130.16%
57.34%AU$1.75AU$0.55n/a3
Sep ’26AU$0.36
AU$0.97
+168.52%
57.34%AU$1.75AU$0.55n/a3
Aug ’26AU$0.40
AU$0.93
+134.18%
52.48%AU$1.75AU$0.55n/a4
Jul ’26AU$0.36
AU$0.93
+156.94%
52.48%AU$1.75AU$0.55n/a4
Jun ’26AU$0.39
AU$0.94
+142.86%
51.23%AU$1.75AU$0.55n/a4
May ’26AU$0.36
AU$0.91
+152.78%
51.46%AU$1.70AU$0.50n/a4
Apr ’26AU$0.35
AU$0.91
+160.00%
51.46%AU$1.70AU$0.50n/a4
Mar ’26AU$0.36
AU$0.91
+150.00%
51.16%AU$1.70AU$0.50n/a4
Feb ’26AU$0.40
AU$0.91
+131.01%
51.16%AU$1.70AU$0.50n/a4
Jan ’26AU$0.35
AU$0.91
+157.04%
51.16%AU$1.70AU$0.50n/a4
Dec ’25AU$0.41
AU$0.91
+122.56%
51.16%AU$1.70AU$0.50AU$0.434
Nov ’25AU$0.44
AU$0.91
+107.39%
51.16%AU$1.70AU$0.50AU$0.434
Oct ’25AU$0.51
AU$0.93
+81.37%
49.32%AU$1.70AU$0.55AU$0.424
Sep ’25AU$0.40
AU$0.94
+134.38%
47.91%AU$1.70AU$0.55AU$0.364
Aug ’25AU$0.37
AU$0.93
+150.00%
46.26%AU$1.65AU$0.55AU$0.404
Jul ’25AU$0.45
AU$0.85
+88.89%
39.46%AU$1.40AU$0.50AU$0.364
Jun ’25AU$0.52
AU$0.85
+65.05%
39.46%AU$1.40AU$0.50AU$0.394
May ’25AU$0.39
AU$0.85
+117.95%
39.46%AU$1.40AU$0.50AU$0.364
Apr ’25AU$0.30
AU$0.85
+183.33%
39.46%AU$1.40AU$0.50AU$0.354
Mar ’25AU$0.26
AU$1.00
+284.62%
57.16%AU$1.80AU$0.50AU$0.363
Feb ’25AU$0.29
AU$1.18
+305.17%
40.98%AU$1.80AU$0.50AU$0.404
Jan ’25AU$0.54
AU$1.25
+133.64%
30.72%AU$1.80AU$0.80AU$0.354
Dec ’24AU$0.47
AU$1.25
+165.96%
30.72%AU$1.80AU$0.80AU$0.414
AU$0.86
Fair Value
37.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
4
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/12/28 00:30
End of Day Share Price 2025/12/24 00:00
Earnings2025/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Centaurus Metals Limited is covered by 9 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Glyn LawcockBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Richard KnightsBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
April LowisBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited