David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Clover Corporation Limited (ASX:CLV) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Clover
What Is Clover's Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of July 2020, Clover had AU$14.5m of debt, up from AU$13.5m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of AU$9.24m, its net debt is less, at about AU$5.28m.
A Look At Clover's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that Clover had liabilities of AU$10.9m due within a year, and liabilities of AU$13.0m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of AU$9.24m and AU$16.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast AU$2.11m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
Having regard to Clover's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So it's very unlikely that the AU$244.5m company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Clover's net debt is only 0.28 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 31.3 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. In addition to that, we're happy to report that Clover has boosted its EBIT by 35%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Clover's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, Clover's free cash flow amounted to 25% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Our View
Clover's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But truth be told we feel its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow does undermine this impression a bit. Looking at the bigger picture, we think Clover's use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Clover is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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About ASX:CLV
Clover
Engages in the production, refining, and sale of natural oils and encapsulated powders in Australia, New Zealand, Asia, Europe, the Middle East, and the Americas.
Flawless balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.