Stock Analysis

The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Burgundy Diamond Mines Limited's (ASX:BDM) Revenues Yet

ASX:BDM
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Burgundy Diamond Mines Limited's (ASX:BDM) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the Metals and Mining industry in Australia, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 70.3x and even P/S above 438x are quite common. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Burgundy Diamond Mines

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:BDM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 5th 2024

How Has Burgundy Diamond Mines Performed Recently?

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Burgundy Diamond Mines has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the share price, and thus the P/S ratio. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Burgundy Diamond Mines.

How Is Burgundy Diamond Mines' Revenue Growth Trending?

Burgundy Diamond Mines' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an explosive gain to the company's top line. In spite of this unbelievable short-term growth, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 11% each year during the coming three years according to the lone analyst following the company. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 460% per annum.

In light of this, it's understandable that Burgundy Diamond Mines' P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

What We Can Learn From Burgundy Diamond Mines' P/S?

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

With revenue forecasts that are inferior to the rest of the industry, it's no surprise that Burgundy Diamond Mines' P/S is on the lower end of the spectrum. As other companies in the industry are forecasting revenue growth, Burgundy Diamond Mines' poor outlook justifies its low P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Burgundy Diamond Mines with six simple checks.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Burgundy Diamond Mines might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.