AVZ Minerals Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of AVZ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

AVZ (A$0.78) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (A$2.5)

Is AVZ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Book vs Peers
Price-To-Book vs Industry
Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AVZ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AVZ (A$0.78) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$2.5)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AVZ is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AVZ?

Key metric: As AVZ barely has revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for AVZ. This is calculated by dividing AVZ's market cap by their current book value.
What is AVZ's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio	14.6x
Book	AU$188.49m
Market Cap	AU$2.75b

AVZ key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	2904.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	-227.6x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does AVZ's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for AVZ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PB	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	4.5x
AZS Azure Minerals	13x	n/a	AU$1.7b
DVP Develop Global	1.6x	95.4%	AU$545.6m
VUL Vulcan Energy Resources	2.9x	17.0%	AU$1.3b
PLL Piedmont Lithium	0.8x	105.0%	AU$359.6m
AVZ AVZ Minerals	14.6x	85.0%	AU$2.8b

Price-To-Book vs Peers: AVZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (14.6x) compared to the peer average (4.5x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does AVZ's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Metals and Mining Industry?

16 Companies	Price / Book	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
HAS Hastings Technology Metals	0.2x	12.6%	US$32.32m
JRV Jervois Global	0.1x	n/a	US$19.32m
ADN Andromeda Metals	0.2x	25.5%	US$15.59m
CTO Citigold	0.1x	n/a	US$7.80m

16 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: AVZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (14.6x) compared to the Australian Metals and Mining industry average (1.1x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AVZ's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AVZ PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio	14.6x
Fair PB Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate AVZ's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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