Australian Rare Earths Valuation

Is AR3 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Book vs Peers
Price-To-Book vs Industry
Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AR3 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate AR3's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate AR3's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AR3?

Key metric: As AR3 is unprofitable and pre-revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for AR3. This is calculated by dividing AR3's market cap by their current book value.
What is AR3's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio	0.8x
Book	AU$22.08m
Market Cap	AU$17.45m

AR3 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	n/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	-2.7x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does AR3's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for AR3 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PB	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	2.3x
ACP Audalia Resources	8.1x	n/a	AU$17.4m
COD Coda Minerals	0.8x	n/a	AU$17.7m
VML Vital Metals	0.2x	n/a	AU$17.7m
LPD Lepidico	0.2x	96.5%	AU$17.2m
AR3 Australian Rare Earths	0.8x	n/a	AU$17.5m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: AR3 is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (0.8x) compared to the peer average (2.3x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does AR3's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Metals and Mining Industry?

15 Companies	Price / Book	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
HAS Hastings Technology Metals	0.2x	12.6%	US$32.32m
JRV Jervois Global	0.1x	n/a	US$19.32m
ADN Andromeda Metals	0.2x	25.5%	US$15.59m
CTO Citigold	0.1x	n/a	US$7.80m

15 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: AR3 is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (0.8x) compared to the Australian Metals and Mining industry average (1.1x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AR3's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AR3 PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio	0.8x
Fair PB Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate AR3's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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