Stock Analysis

Analyst Forecasts For Alkane Resources Ltd (ASX:ALK) Are Surging Higher

Celebrations may be in order for Alkane Resources Ltd (ASX:ALK) shareholders, with the analysts delivering a significant upgrade to their statutory estimates for the company. The analysts greatly increased their revenue estimates, suggesting a stark improvement in business fundamentals.

After the upgrade, the five analysts covering Alkane Resources are now predicting revenues of AU$771m in 2026. If met, this would reflect a sizeable 194% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to soar 568% to AU$0.16. Prior to this update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of AU$528m and earnings per share (EPS) of AU$0.14 in 2026. There has definitely been an improvement in perception recently, with the analysts substantially increasing both their earnings and revenue estimates.

View our latest analysis for Alkane Resources

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ASX:ALK Earnings and Revenue Growth August 27th 2025

With these upgrades, we're not surprised to see that the analysts have lifted their price target 14% to AU$1.29 per share.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's clear from the latest estimates that Alkane Resources' rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 194% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2026 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 17% p.a. over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 5.4% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Alkane Resources to grow faster than the wider industry.

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The Bottom Line

The biggest takeaway for us from these new estimates is that analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, with improved earnings power expected for this year. Fortunately, analysts also upgraded their revenue estimates, and our data indicates sales are expected to perform better than the wider market. Given that the consensus looks almost universally bullish, with a substantial increase to forecasts and a higher price target, Alkane Resources could be worth investigating further.

Still, the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have estimates - from multiple Alkane Resources analysts - going out to 2028, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Another way to search for interesting companies that could be reaching an inflection point is to track whether management are buying or selling, with our free list of growing companies backed by insiders.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.