When Will Andromeda Metals Limited (ASX:ADN) Turn A Profit?

With the business potentially at an important milestone, we thought we'd take a closer look at Andromeda Metals Limited's (ASX:ADN) future prospects. Andromeda Metals Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a mineral exploration company in Australia. On 30 June 2023, the AU$84m market-cap company posted a loss of AU$9.5m for its most recent financial year. The most pressing concern for investors is Andromeda Metals' path to profitability – when will it breakeven? We've put together a brief outline of industry analyst expectations for the company, its year of breakeven and its implied growth rate.

View our latest analysis for Andromeda Metals

Expectations from some of the Australian Metals and Mining analysts is that Andromeda Metals is on the verge of breakeven. They anticipate the company to incur a final loss in 2024, before generating positive profits of AU$18m in 2025. So, the company is predicted to breakeven just over a year from now. What rate will the company have to grow year-on-year in order to breakeven on this date? Using a line of best fit, we calculated an average annual growth rate of 92%, which is rather optimistic! If this rate turns out to be too aggressive, the company may become profitable much later than analysts predict.

Underlying developments driving Andromeda Metals' growth isn’t the focus of this broad overview, but, take into account that typically a metal and mining business has lumpy cash flows which are contingent on the natural resource mined and stage at which the company is operating. So, a high growth rate is not out of the ordinary, particularly when a company is in a period of investment.

Before we wrap up, there’s one aspect worth mentioning. Andromeda Metals currently has no debt on its balance sheet, which is rare for a loss-making metals and mining company, which usually has a high level of debt relative to its equity. This means that the company has been operating purely on its equity investment and has no debt burden. This aspect reduces the risk around investing in the loss-making company.

Next Steps:

There are key fundamentals of Andromeda Metals which are not covered in this article, but we must stress again that this is merely a basic overview. For a more comprehensive look at Andromeda Metals, take a look at Andromeda Metals' company page on Simply Wall St. We've also put together a list of key factors you should further examine:

1. Historical Track Record: What has Andromeda Metals' performance been like over the past? Go into more detail in the past track record analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of our analysis for more clarity.
2. Management Team: An experienced management team on the helm increases our confidence in the business – take a look at who sits on Andromeda Metals' board and the CEO’s background.
3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.