Alpha HPA Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

Alpha HPA is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 44.7% and 96.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 47.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 10% in 3 years.

Key information

44.7%

Earnings growth rate

47.3%

EPS growth rate

Chemicals earnings growth	32.4%
Revenue growth rate	96.8%
Future return on equity	10.0%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	05 Jun 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ASX:A4N - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
6/30/2027	185	23	N/A	60	1
6/30/2026	30	-42	-322	-6	1
6/30/2025	19	-12	-177	-3	1
6/30/2024	0	-25	-53	-22	N/A
3/31/2024	0	-22	-49	-24	N/A
12/31/2023	0	-20	-45	-25	N/A
9/30/2023	0	-18	-40	-18	N/A
6/30/2023	0	-16	-35	-11	N/A
3/31/2023	0	-10	-37	-7	N/A
12/31/2022	0	-5	-38	-3	N/A
9/30/2022	0	-6	-35	-4	N/A
6/30/2022	0	-7	-32	-4	N/A
3/31/2022	0	-12	-24	-3	N/A
12/31/2021	0	-16	-16	-2	N/A
9/30/2021	0	-16	-12	-2	N/A
6/30/2021	N/A	-16	-8	-2	N/A
3/31/2021	N/A	-14	-8	-2	N/A
12/31/2020	N/A	-12	-8	-2	N/A
9/30/2020	N/A	-11	-7	-1	N/A
6/30/2020	N/A	-9	-6	0	N/A
3/31/2020	N/A	-11	-5	-1	N/A
12/31/2019	N/A	-13	-4	-1	N/A
9/30/2019	N/A	-11	-4	-1	N/A
6/30/2019	N/A	-10	-4	-2	N/A
3/31/2019	N/A	-6	-4	-1	N/A
12/31/2018	N/A	-3	-4	-1	N/A
9/30/2018	N/A	-2	-3	-1	N/A
6/30/2018	N/A	-2	-3	-1	N/A
3/31/2018	0	-3	N/A	-1	N/A
12/31/2017	0	-3	N/A	-1	N/A
9/30/2017	0	-3	N/A	-1	N/A
6/30/2017	0	-3	N/A	0	N/A
3/31/2017	0	-2	N/A	-1	N/A
12/31/2016	0	-1	N/A	-1	N/A
9/30/2016	0	-1	N/A	-1	N/A
6/30/2016	0	-1	N/A	-1	N/A
3/31/2016	0	-1	N/A	-1	N/A
12/31/2015	N/A	-1	N/A	-1	N/A
9/30/2015	N/A	-1	N/A	-1	N/A
6/30/2015	N/A	-1	N/A	-1	N/A
3/31/2015	N/A	-1	N/A	-1	N/A
12/31/2014	N/A	-1	N/A	-1	N/A
9/30/2014	N/A	-2	N/A	-1	N/A
6/30/2014	N/A	-2	N/A	-1	N/A
3/31/2014	N/A	-2	N/A	-1	N/A
12/31/2013	N/A	-2	N/A	-1	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: A4N is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2.4%).

Earnings vs Market: A4N is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: A4N is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: A4N's revenue (96.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (5.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: A4N's revenue (96.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: A4N's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (10%).

Alpha HPA Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus revenue estimates fall by 60%

No longer forecast to breakeven

Price target increased by 9.4% to AU$1.75

Consensus revenue estimates fall by 53%

Forecast breakeven date pushed back to 2026

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 31%

Recent updates

Full year 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Consensus revenue estimates fall by 60%

No longer forecast to breakeven

Alpha HPA Limited has filed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of AUD 120.000001 million.

Price target increased by 9.4% to AU$1.75

Consensus revenue estimates fall by 53%

Forecast breakeven date pushed back to 2026

Is Alpha HPA (ASX:A4N) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

First half 2024 earnings released: AU$0.01 loss per share (vs AU$0.005 loss in 1H 2023)

New major risk - Financial position

Alpha HPA Limited Appoints Marghanita Johnson as an Independent, Non-Executive Director, Effective January 15, 2024

Alpha HPA Limited Appoints Annie Liu as an Independent, Non-Executive Director

Alpha HPA Limited has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of AUD 40 million.

Alpha HPA Limited has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of AUD 40 million.

Alpha HPA Limited has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of AUD 40 million.

Alpha HPA Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 28, 2023

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 31%

Is Alpha HPA (ASX:A4N) In A Good Position To Invest In Growth?

Alpha HPA Limited Appoints Craig Jones as Chief Financial Officer, Effective on or Around 1 February 2024

Alpha HPA Limited Appoints Craig Jones as Chief Financial Officer, Effective on or Around 1 February 2024

Non-Executive Director recently sold AU$494k worth of stock

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

CFO & Director exercised options to buy AU$2.4m worth of stock.

New major risk - Financial position

Alpha HPA Limited Announces Receipt of Initial Payment of Federal Government Grant Funds

Consensus revenue estimates fall by 63%

Forecast breakeven date pushed back to 2025

Is Alpha HPA (ASX:A4N) In A Good Position To Deliver On Growth Plans?

Alpha Hpa Limited Provides an Update on Project Activities for Hpa First Project

Alpha HPA Limited Provides Update on HPA First Project

Price target increased to AU$1.02

No independent directors

Alpha HPA Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 23, 2022

Alpha Hpa Limited Updates on Project Activities for Its Hpa First Project

Consensus forecasts updated

Will Alpha HPA (ASX:A4N) Spend Its Cash Wisely?

Alpha HPA Limited Appoints Regan Crooks as Non-Executive Director

Alpha HPA Limited Provides Update on its First Project

MD, Technical Director & Director exercised options to buy AU$1.1m worth of stock.

Alpha HPA Limited Provides Update on Project Activities for HPA First Project

Companies Like Alpha HPA (ASX:A4N) Are In A Position To Invest In Growth

No independent directors

Price target increased to AU$0.92

At AU$0.60, Is Alpha HPA Limited (ASX:A4N) Worth Looking At Closely?

Alpha HPA Limited Provided an Update on Project Activities for Its HPA First Project

We Think Alpha HPA (ASX:A4N) Can Easily Afford To Drive Business Growth

Non-Executive Director recently bought AU$100k worth of stock

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Alpha HPA Limited (ASX:A4N)

Is Alpha HPA (ASX:A4N) In A Good Position To Invest In Growth?

Price target increased to AU$0.87

Forecast to breakeven in 2024

Non-Executive Director recently bought AU$90k worth of stock

the Board of Alpha HPA Limited Provides an Update on HPA First Project

Insider recently sold AU$2.5m worth of stock

Is Alpha HPA (ASX:A4N) In A Good Position To Invest In Growth?

New 90-day high: AU$0.42

Alpha HPA Limited Announces Appointment of Cameron Peacock as Non-Executive Director

Here's What We Learned About The CEO Pay At Alpha HPA Limited (ASX:A4N)

New 90-day high: AU$0.39

What Kind Of Investors Own Most Of Alpha HPA Limited (ASX:A4N)?

Price target raised to AU$0.42

MD, Technical Director & Director exercised options and sold AU$750k worth of stock

Far East Gold Ltd. signed a conditional share purchase agreement to acquire Wonogiri Copper Gold Project from PT Rajawali Corporation and Alpha HPA Limited (ASX:A4N).

Alpha HPA Limited Announces Manufacture of High-Purity (99.995%) Lithium-Ion Cathode Pre-Cursor

New 90-day high: AU$0.29

New 90-day high - AU$0.25

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts