Is AIC Mines (ASX:A1M) Using Too Much Debt?

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, AIC Mines Limited (ASX:A1M) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

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What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

How Much Debt Does AIC Mines Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2024, AIC Mines had AU$10.9m of debt, up from AU$7.38m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds AU$68.1m in cash, so it actually has AU$57.2m net cash.

A Look At AIC Mines' Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that AIC Mines had liabilities of AU$29.8m falling due within a year, and liabilities of AU$43.6m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of AU$68.1m as well as receivables valued at AU$1.04m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total AU$4.22m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given AIC Mines has a market capitalization of AU$169.8m, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. While it does have liabilities worth noting, AIC Mines also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

See our latest analysis for AIC Mines

Better yet, AIC Mines grew its EBIT by 192% last year, which is an impressive improvement. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if AIC Mines can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts .

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. AIC Mines may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, AIC Mines burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Summing Up

We could understand if investors are concerned about AIC Mines's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of AU$57.2m. And we liked the look of last year's 192% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't have any problem with AIC Mines's use of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for AIC Mines (1 is concerning) you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.