Stock Analysis

ASX Stocks Estimated To Be Up To 35.6% Below Intrinsic Value

The Australian market has recently experienced a boost in sentiment, with the ASX200 up 1.3% and nearly every sector showing gains, driven by positive tech earnings from global giants like NVIDIA. This improvement comes amidst ongoing concerns about potential bubbles in the AI sector and geopolitical tensions, leaving investors eager to identify stocks that are trading below their intrinsic value as they seek opportunities for growth. In this context, undervalued stocks can offer a compelling proposition for those looking to capitalize on current market conditions while maintaining a focus on long-term fundamentals.

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Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Australia

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Telix Pharmaceuticals (ASX:TLX)A$13.88A$25.7546.1%
Symal Group (ASX:SYL)A$2.43A$4.5646.8%
Smart Parking (ASX:SPZ)A$1.295A$2.2642.8%
Regal Partners (ASX:RPL)A$2.88A$4.9641.9%
NRW Holdings (ASX:NWH)A$5.02A$8.9744%
LGI (ASX:LGI)A$4.30A$7.7044.1%
Judo Capital Holdings (ASX:JDO)A$1.46A$2.4440.1%
Immutep (ASX:IMM)A$0.265A$0.4945.5%
Guzman y Gomez (ASX:GYG)A$22.55A$39.3342.7%
CleanSpace Holdings (ASX:CSX)A$0.69A$1.3548.7%

Click here to see the full list of 35 stocks from our Undervalued ASX Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Let's review some notable picks from our screened stocks.

Elders (ASX:ELD)

Overview: Elders Limited provides agricultural products and services to rural and regional customers primarily in Australia, with a market cap of A$1.60 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue is derived from its Branch Network at A$2.71 billion, Wholesale Products at A$345.93 million, and Feed and Processing Services at A$148.49 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 35.6%

Elders Limited is trading at A$7.51, significantly below its estimated fair value of A$11.65, indicating potential undervaluation based on discounted cash flows. Despite a recent increase in sales to A$3.20 billion and net income to A$50.29 million, the dividend yield of 4.79% isn't well-supported by earnings or free cash flow, posing sustainability concerns. Forecasts suggest robust annual profit growth of 27.8%, outpacing the broader Australian market's expected growth rate.

ASX:ELD Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2025
ASX:ELD Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2025

James Hardie Industries (ASX:JHX)

Overview: James Hardie Industries plc manufactures and sells fiber cement, fiber gypsum, and cement bonded boards across the United States, Australia, Europe, and New Zealand with a market cap of A$16.07 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue segments include $524.40 million from Europe and $490.70 million from Australia & New Zealand.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 25.8%

James Hardie Industries is trading at A$27.74, over 25% below its estimated fair value of A$37.4, highlighting potential undervaluation based on cash flows. Despite a challenging year with net income dropping to US$6.8 million and a significant net loss in Q2, earnings are projected to grow significantly at 35.9% annually over the next three years, outpacing the Australian market's growth rate of 12.1%. Recent executive changes may impact strategic execution moving forward.

ASX:JHX Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2025
ASX:JHX Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2025

PolyNovo (ASX:PNV)

Overview: PolyNovo Limited designs, manufactures, and sells biodegradable medical devices across several countries including Australia, New Zealand, the United States, and others, with a market cap of A$792.40 million.

Operations: The company's revenue is primarily derived from the development, manufacturing, and commercialization of the NovoSorb Technology, totaling A$128.70 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 29.2%

PolyNovo is trading at A$1.15, below its estimated fair value of A$1.62, suggesting potential undervaluation based on cash flows. The company reported a net income increase to A$13.21 million from the previous year, with earnings expected to grow significantly at 27.37% annually over the next three years, surpassing the Australian market's growth rate of 12.1%. Recent board changes include appointing Robert Douglas, potentially enhancing strategic oversight and governance in medical device technology.

ASX:PNV Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2025
ASX:PNV Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2025

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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