Bubs Australia Limited

CHIA:BUB Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$102.7m

Bubs Australia Valuation

Is BUB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BUB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BUB (A$0.12) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$0.43)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BUB is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BUB?

Key metric: As BUB is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for BUB. This is calculated by dividing BUB's market cap by their current revenue.
What is BUB's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.3x
SalesAU$79.70m
Market CapAU$102.71m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does BUB's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for BUB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3.9x
MCA Murray Cod Australia
13.5xn/aAU$142.8m
OJC Original Juice
1.1xn/aAU$53.3m
NOU Noumi
0.09x3.2%AU$52.7m
FFI FFI Holdings
0.8xn/aAU$42.0m
BUB Bubs Australia
1.3x10.0%AU$102.7m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: BUB is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x) compared to the peer average (3.9x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does BUB's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Food Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NOU Noumi
0.09x3.2%US$34.22m
MBH Maggie Beer Holdings
0.2xn/aUS$12.89m
BFC Beston Global Food
0.04xn/aUS$4.12m
TFL TasFoods
0.1xn/aUS$3.41m
BUB 1.3xIndustry Avg. 0.9xNo. of Companies10PS012345+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: BUB is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x) compared to the Australian Food industry average (0.9x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BUB's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BUB PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.3x
Fair PS Ratio1.1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: BUB is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BUB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$0.12
AU$0.14
+17.0%
5.5%AU$0.14AU$0.13n/a2
Nov ’25AU$0.12
AU$0.14
+14.6%
5.5%AU$0.14AU$0.13n/a2
Oct ’25AU$0.13
AU$0.11
-11.1%
34.1%AU$0.15AU$0.06n/a3
Sep ’25AU$0.12
AU$0.11
-5.6%
34.1%AU$0.15AU$0.06n/a3
Aug ’25AU$0.14
AU$0.11
-18.5%
34.0%AU$0.15AU$0.06n/a3
Jul ’25AU$0.13
AU$0.11
-17.0%
34.0%AU$0.15AU$0.06n/a3
Jun ’25AU$0.13
AU$0.11
-15.4%
34.0%AU$0.15AU$0.06n/a3
May ’25AU$0.15
AU$0.11
-26.7%
34.0%AU$0.15AU$0.06n/a3
Apr ’25AU$0.17
AU$0.11
-37.3%
31.9%AU$0.14AU$0.06n/a3
Mar ’25AU$0.12
AU$0.13
+8.3%
7.7%AU$0.14AU$0.12n/a2
Feb ’25AU$0.12
AU$0.14
+17.4%
3.7%AU$0.14AU$0.13n/a2
Jan ’25AU$0.13
AU$0.17
+30.8%
23.5%AU$0.21AU$0.13n/a2
Dec ’24AU$0.12
AU$0.15
+27.5%
31.7%AU$0.21AU$0.10n/a3
Nov ’24AU$0.17
AU$0.17
+3.0%
29.2%AU$0.21AU$0.10AU$0.123
Oct ’24AU$0.15
AU$0.17
+11.8%
29.9%AU$0.21AU$0.10AU$0.133
Sep ’24AU$0.17
AU$0.18
+4.4%
28.0%AU$0.23AU$0.10AU$0.124
Aug ’24AU$0.19
AU$0.18
-5.3%
28.6%AU$0.23AU$0.10AU$0.144
Jul ’24AU$0.17
AU$0.17
-5.7%
23.7%AU$0.20AU$0.10AU$0.134
Jun ’24AU$0.18
AU$0.22
+21.4%
36.6%AU$0.32AU$0.10AU$0.135
May ’24AU$0.19
AU$0.32
+66.8%
23.7%AU$0.43AU$0.22AU$0.154
Apr ’24AU$0.23
AU$0.33
+43.8%
16.8%AU$0.43AU$0.29AU$0.174
Mar ’24AU$0.25
AU$0.40
+62.2%
34.2%AU$0.65AU$0.29AU$0.125
Feb ’24AU$0.32
AU$0.41
+29.2%
31.3%AU$0.65AU$0.30AU$0.125
Jan ’24AU$0.30
AU$0.41
+37.8%
31.3%AU$0.65AU$0.30AU$0.135
Dec ’23AU$0.31
AU$0.49
+56.6%
31.9%AU$0.68AU$0.30AU$0.125
Nov ’23AU$0.38
AU$0.61
+63.6%
24.2%AU$0.84AU$0.45AU$0.175

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

Discover undervalued companies

Ricegrowers

AU$620.5m

Operates as a rice food company in Australia, New Zealand, the Pacific Islands, the Middle East, the United States, and internationally.

SGLLV

AU$9.89

7D

7.0%

1Y

n/a

Australian Vintage

AU$44.5m

Produces, packages, markets, and distributes wine in Australia, New Zealand, the United Kingdom, Europe, North America, Asia, and internationally.

AVG

AU$0.14

7D

-6.9%

1Y

-67.1%

Noumi

AU$52.7m

Engages in develops, sources, manufactures, markets, sells, and distributes plant-based and dairy beverages, dairy and nutritional products to wholesale and consumer markets.

NOU

AU$0.19

7D

-5.0%

1Y

95.9%