Bubs Australia Limited

CHIA:BUB Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$86.6m

Bubs Australia Valuation

Is BUB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BUB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
AU$0.43
Fair Value
77.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
2
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: BUB (A$0.1) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$0.43)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BUB is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BUB?

Key metric: As BUB is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for BUB. This is calculated by dividing BUB's market cap by their current revenue.
What is BUB's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.1x
SalesAU$79.70m
Market CapAU$86.63m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does BUB's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for BUB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.5x
FFI FFI Holdings
0.8xn/aAU$43.1m
MCA Murray Cod Australia
13.5xn/aAU$142.8m
NOU Noumi
0.09x3.2%AU$54.0m
SPG SPC Global Holdings
3.5xn/aAU$172.7m
BUB Bubs Australia
1.1x10.0%AU$86.6m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: BUB is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the peer average (4.5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does BUB's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Food Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NOU Noumi
0.09x3.2%US$33.49m
TFL TasFoods
0.2xn/aUS$4.61m
BFC Beston Global Food
0.04xn/aUS$4.12m
YOW Yowie Group
0.2xn/aUS$2.56m
BUB 1.1xIndustry Avg. 1.2xNo. of Companies9PS00.81.62.43.24+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: BUB is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the Australian Food industry average (1.2x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BUB's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BUB PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.1x
Fair PS Ratio1.4x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: BUB is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BUB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$0.099
AU$0.14
+38.9%
5.5%AU$0.14AU$0.13n/a2
Jan ’26AU$0.10
AU$0.14
+34.1%
5.5%AU$0.14AU$0.13n/a2
Dec ’25AU$0.12
AU$0.14
+14.6%
5.5%AU$0.14AU$0.13n/a2
Nov ’25AU$0.12
AU$0.14
+14.6%
5.5%AU$0.14AU$0.13n/a2
Oct ’25AU$0.13
AU$0.11
-11.1%
34.1%AU$0.15AU$0.06n/a3
Sep ’25AU$0.12
AU$0.11
-5.6%
34.1%AU$0.15AU$0.06n/a3
Aug ’25AU$0.14
AU$0.11
-18.5%
34.0%AU$0.15AU$0.06n/a3
Jul ’25AU$0.13
AU$0.11
-17.0%
34.0%AU$0.15AU$0.06n/a3
Jun ’25AU$0.13
AU$0.11
-15.4%
34.0%AU$0.15AU$0.06n/a3
May ’25AU$0.15
AU$0.11
-26.7%
34.0%AU$0.15AU$0.06n/a3
Apr ’25AU$0.17
AU$0.11
-37.3%
31.9%AU$0.14AU$0.06n/a3
Mar ’25AU$0.12
AU$0.13
+8.3%
7.7%AU$0.14AU$0.12n/a2
Feb ’25AU$0.12
AU$0.14
+17.4%
3.7%AU$0.14AU$0.13n/a2
Jan ’25AU$0.13
AU$0.17
+30.8%
23.5%AU$0.21AU$0.13AU$0.102
Dec ’24AU$0.12
AU$0.15
+27.5%
31.7%AU$0.21AU$0.10AU$0.123
Nov ’24AU$0.17
AU$0.17
+3.0%
29.2%AU$0.21AU$0.10AU$0.123
Oct ’24AU$0.15
AU$0.17
+11.8%
29.9%AU$0.21AU$0.10AU$0.133
Sep ’24AU$0.17
AU$0.18
+4.4%
28.0%AU$0.23AU$0.10AU$0.124
Aug ’24AU$0.19
AU$0.18
-5.3%
28.6%AU$0.23AU$0.10AU$0.144
Jul ’24AU$0.17
AU$0.17
-5.7%
23.7%AU$0.20AU$0.10AU$0.134
Jun ’24AU$0.18
AU$0.22
+21.4%
36.6%AU$0.32AU$0.10AU$0.135
May ’24AU$0.19
AU$0.32
+66.8%
23.7%AU$0.43AU$0.22AU$0.154
Apr ’24AU$0.23
AU$0.33
+43.8%
16.8%AU$0.43AU$0.29AU$0.174
Mar ’24AU$0.25
AU$0.40
+62.2%
34.2%AU$0.65AU$0.29AU$0.125
Feb ’24AU$0.32
AU$0.41
+29.2%
31.3%AU$0.65AU$0.30AU$0.125
Jan ’24AU$0.30
AU$0.41
+37.8%
31.3%AU$0.65AU$0.30AU$0.135
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 2 Analysts
AU$0.14
Fair Value
29.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
2
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/17 18:17
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/17 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Bubs Australia Limited is covered by 4 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jonathan SnapeBell Potter
Sam TeegerCitigroup Inc
James WangCitigroup Inc