Stock Analysis

Even after rising 11% this past week, Murray Cod Australia (ASX:MCA) shareholders are still down 16% over the past three years

ASX:MCA
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Murray Cod Australia Limited (ASX:MCA) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 11% in the last week. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last three years have been less than pleasing. In fact, the share price is down 16% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return.

On a more encouraging note the company has added AU$11m to its market cap in just the last 7 days, so let's see if we can determine what's driven the three-year loss for shareholders.

View our latest analysis for Murray Cod Australia

Given that Murray Cod Australia didn't make a profit in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue growth to form a quick view of its business development. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. That's because it's hard to be confident a company will be sustainable if revenue growth is negligible, and it never makes a profit.

Over three years, Murray Cod Australia grew revenue at 30% per year. That's well above most other pre-profit companies. The share price drop of 5% per year over three years would be considered disappointing by many, so you might argue the company is getting little credit for its impressive revenue growth. It's possible that the prior share price assumed unrealistically high future growth. Still, with high hopes now tempered, now might prove to be an opportunity to buy.

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
ASX:MCA Earnings and Revenue Growth January 19th 2024

Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that Murray Cod Australia has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 6.9% in the last twelve months. That certainly beats the loss of about 1.7% per year over the last half decade. This makes us a little wary, but the business might have turned around its fortunes. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Murray Cod Australia better, we need to consider many other factors. Even so, be aware that Murray Cod Australia is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those don't sit too well with us...

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Australian exchanges.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Murray Cod Australia is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.