Cobram Estate Olives Limited

ASX:CBO Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$836.0m

Cobram Estate Olives Valuation

Is CBO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CBO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CBO (A$2.02) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$2.81)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CBO is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CBO?

Key metric: As CBO is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CBO. This is calculated by dividing CBO's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CBO's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio45.6x
EarningsAU$18.53m
Market CapAU$836.04m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CBO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CBO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.6x
SGLLV Ricegrowers
10.1x9.8%AU$627.6m
ING Inghams Group
11.4x5.2%AU$1.2b
BGA Bega Cheese
52.6x22.4%AU$1.6b
FFI FFI Holdings
24.2xn/aAU$42.0m
CBO Cobram Estate Olives
45.6x15.1%AU$836.0m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CBO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (45.6x) compared to the peer average (24.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CBO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Oceanian Food Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CBO 45.6xIndustry Avg. 15.8xNo. of Companies4PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CBO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (45.6x) compared to the Global Food industry average (15.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CBO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CBO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio45.6x
Fair PE Ratio26.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CBO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (45.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CBO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$2.02
AU$1.98
-2.1%
5.2%AU$2.10AU$1.85n/a3
Nov ’25AU$1.88
AU$1.98
+5.4%
5.2%AU$2.10AU$1.85n/a3
Oct ’25AU$1.70
AU$1.98
+16.6%
5.2%AU$2.10AU$1.85n/a3
Sep ’25AU$1.59
AU$1.98
+24.7%
5.2%AU$2.10AU$1.85n/a3
Aug ’25AU$1.63
AU$1.99
+22.1%
2.2%AU$2.05AU$1.95n/a3
Jul ’25AU$1.77
AU$1.95
+10.4%
4.0%AU$2.05AU$1.86n/a3
Jun ’25AU$1.87
AU$1.90
+1.8%
5.6%AU$2.05AU$1.80n/a3
May ’25AU$1.80
AU$1.93
+7.1%
5.3%AU$2.05AU$1.80n/a4
Apr ’25AU$1.95
AU$1.93
-0.9%
5.3%AU$2.05AU$1.80n/a4
Mar ’25AU$1.72
AU$1.93
+12.4%
5.3%AU$2.05AU$1.80n/a4
Feb ’25AU$1.61
AU$1.78
+10.6%
2.6%AU$1.82AU$1.70n/a4
Jan ’25AU$1.74
AU$1.78
+2.6%
2.6%AU$1.82AU$1.70n/a4
Dec ’24AU$1.40
AU$1.70
+21.6%
3.4%AU$1.75AU$1.61n/a4
Nov ’24AU$1.30
AU$1.69
+29.7%
3.4%AU$1.75AU$1.61AU$1.883
Oct ’24AU$1.35
AU$1.50
+10.7%
24.6%AU$1.80AU$0.87AU$1.704
Sep ’24AU$1.35
AU$1.50
+10.7%
24.6%AU$1.80AU$0.87AU$1.594
Aug ’24AU$1.29
AU$1.47
+14.0%
24.2%AU$1.75AU$0.87AU$1.634
Jul ’24AU$1.24
AU$1.52
+22.7%
26.0%AU$1.90AU$0.87AU$1.774
Jun ’24AU$1.26
AU$1.54
+22.4%
25.8%AU$1.90AU$0.87AU$1.874
May ’24AU$1.33
AU$1.54
+16.2%
25.8%AU$1.90AU$0.87AU$1.804
Apr ’24AU$1.31
AU$1.55
+19.0%
26.4%AU$1.95AU$0.87AU$1.954
Mar ’24AU$1.34
AU$1.73
+29.3%
8.0%AU$1.95AU$1.59AU$1.724
Feb ’24AU$1.40
AU$1.90
+35.5%
11.6%AU$2.10AU$1.59AU$1.613
Jan ’24AU$1.47
AU$1.88
+28.5%
10.2%AU$2.10AU$1.59AU$1.744
Dec ’23AU$1.52
AU$1.88
+24.3%
10.2%AU$2.10AU$1.59AU$1.404
Nov ’23AU$1.66
AU$1.90
+14.2%
10.9%AU$2.15AU$1.59AU$1.304

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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