Lotus Resources Limited

CHIA:LOT Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$483.3m

Lotus Resources Valuation

Is LOT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LOT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LOT (A$0.23) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$1.52)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LOT is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LOT?

Key metric: As LOT barely has revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for LOT. This is calculated by dividing LOT's market cap by their current book value.
What is LOT's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio3.7x
BookAU$129.81m
Market CapAU$483.28m

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does LOT's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for LOT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.8x
DYL Deep Yellow
2x-59.7%AU$1.2b
TER TerraCom
1xn/aAU$156.2m
BOE Boss Energy
2.5x32.1%AU$1.2b
BKY Berkeley Energia
1.9xn/aAU$167.2m
LOT Lotus Resources
3.7x71.3%AU$483.3m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: LOT is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (3.7x) compared to the peer average (1.8x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does LOT's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Oil and Gas Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BLU Blue Energy
0.2x109.7%US$9.65m
ATS Australis Oil & Gas
0.2xn/aUS$7.56m
BME Black Mountain Energy
0.07xn/aUS$2.00m
AUH AustChina Holdings
0.2xn/aUS$1.56m
No more companies available in this PB range
LOT 3.7xIndustry Avg. 1.3xNo. of Companies12PB00.81.62.43.24+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: LOT is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (3.7x) compared to the Australian Oil and Gas industry average (1.3x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LOT's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LOT PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio3.7x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate LOT's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LOT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$0.23
AU$0.56
+143.7%
20.1%AU$0.72AU$0.42n/a4
Nov ’25AU$0.26
AU$0.59
+127.1%
14.2%AU$0.72AU$0.50n/a4
Oct ’25AU$0.26
AU$0.56
+114.8%
20.4%AU$0.72AU$0.40n/a5
Sep ’25AU$0.23
AU$0.65
+183.9%
10.8%AU$0.72AU$0.54n/a4
Aug ’25AU$0.26
AU$0.65
+151.1%
10.8%AU$0.72AU$0.54n/a4
Jul ’25AU$0.33
AU$0.65
+96.4%
13.2%AU$0.75AU$0.54n/a4
Jun ’25AU$0.47
AU$0.65
+40.3%
13.2%AU$0.75AU$0.54n/a4
May ’25AU$0.45
AU$0.67
+48.1%
13.8%AU$0.75AU$0.54n/a3
Apr ’25AU$0.38
AU$0.64
+70.7%
21.1%AU$0.75AU$0.45n/a3
Mar ’25AU$0.34
AU$0.73
+116.2%
2.0%AU$0.75AU$0.72n/a2
Feb ’25AU$0.35
AU$0.52
+50.6%
26.9%AU$0.72AU$0.40n/a3
Jan ’25AU$0.29
AU$0.44
+54.7%
17.0%AU$0.53AU$0.35n/a3
Dec ’24AU$0.29
AU$0.44
+50.8%
17.0%AU$0.53AU$0.35n/a3
Nov ’24AU$0.27
AU$0.44
+67.9%
17.0%AU$0.53AU$0.35AU$0.263
Oct ’24AU$0.27
AU$0.44
+64.8%
17.0%AU$0.53AU$0.35AU$0.263
Sep ’24AU$0.23
AU$0.44
+96.6%
20.9%AU$0.53AU$0.35AU$0.232
Aug ’24AU$0.23
AU$0.44
+96.6%
20.9%AU$0.53AU$0.35AU$0.262
Jul ’24AU$0.18
AU$0.41
+130.6%
13.3%AU$0.47AU$0.36AU$0.332
Jun ’24AU$0.18
AU$0.35
+95.9%
2.1%AU$0.36AU$0.35AU$0.472
May ’24AU$0.19
AU$0.35
+88.1%
2.1%AU$0.36AU$0.35AU$0.452
Apr ’24AU$0.19
AU$0.35
+85.6%
2.1%AU$0.36AU$0.35AU$0.382
Mar ’24AU$0.21
AU$0.34
+62.8%
9.6%AU$0.38AU$0.30AU$0.343
Feb ’24AU$0.23
AU$0.34
+47.0%
9.6%AU$0.38AU$0.30AU$0.353
Jan ’24AU$0.20
AU$0.31
+51.5%
17.0%AU$0.38AU$0.25AU$0.293
Dec ’23AU$0.21
AU$0.31
+47.9%
17.0%AU$0.38AU$0.25AU$0.293
Nov ’23AU$0.23
AU$0.31
+32.2%
17.0%AU$0.38AU$0.25AU$0.273

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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