Alligator Energy Valuation

Is AGE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Book vs Peers
Price-To-Book vs Industry
Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AGE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate AGE's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate AGE's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AGE?

Key metric: As AGE barely has revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for AGE. This is calculated by dividing AGE's market cap by their current book value.
What is AGE's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio	2.5x
Book	AU$65.85m
Market Cap	AU$162.69m

AGE key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	120.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	-55.2x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does AGE's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for AGE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PB	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	4.1x
MEU Marmota	2.4x	n/a	AU$46.7m
EL8 Elevate Uranium	8.2x	n/a	AU$97.2m
BMN Bannerman Energy	4.8x	59.7%	AU$509.0m
TOE Toro Energy	1.1x	n/a	AU$33.7m
AGE Alligator Energy	2.5x	82.7%	AU$162.7m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: AGE is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (2.5x) compared to the peer average (4.1x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does AGE's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Oil and Gas Industry?

6 Companies	Price / Book	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
BLU Blue Energy	0.2x	109.7%	US$9.61m
ATS Australis Oil & Gas	0.2x	n/a	US$8.37m
AJQ Armour Energy	0.2x	n/a	US$6.72m
BME Black Mountain Energy	0.07x	n/a	US$2.00m

6 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: AGE is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (2.5x) compared to the Australian Oil and Gas industry average (1.3x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AGE's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AGE PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio	2.5x
Fair PB Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate AGE's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

Discover undervalued companies

Yancoal Australia

AU$8.4b

Engages in the exploration, development, production, and marketing of metallurgical and thermal coal in Australia, China, Japan, Taiwan, South Korea, Europe, Malaysia, Vietnam, Thailand, India, Chile, Indonesia, Cambodia, and Bangladesh.

YAL

AU$6.38

3.1%

31.3%

Amplitude Energy

AU$462.0m

Engages in exploration, development, and production of natural gas and low-cost oil in Australia.

AEL

AU$0.17

2.9%

66.7%

Beach Energy

AU$2.9b

Operates as an oil and gas exploration and production company.

BPT

AU$1.30

2.8%

-15.6%